Recent forecasts from multiple models, including Met Office and European guidance, indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on September 5 near 16–18°C under partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds that limit overnight radiative cooling. This setup aligns with trader emphasis on the 16°C and 19°C outcomes, as high pressure promotes clearer conditions than the seasonal average low of 12.7°C while preventing stronger cooling. Model consensus shows modest spread tied to minor variations in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, keeping probabilities balanced across mid-range bins rather than favoring extremes. Updated runs from Météo-France and ensemble guidance in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月5日巴黎最低溫度？
9月5日巴黎最低溫度？
24°C或以上 59%
17°C 42%
18°C 39%
19°C 33%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
14°C或以下
20%
15°C
21%
16°C
25%
17°C
42%
18°C
39%
19°C
33%
20°C
2%
21°C
8%
22°C
8%
23°C
8%
24°C或以上
59%
24°C或以上 59%
17°C 42%
18°C 39%
19°C 33%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
14°C或以下
$0 交易量
20%
15°C
$0 交易量
21%
16°C
$0 交易量
25%
17°C
$0 交易量
42%
18°C
$0 交易量
39%
19°C
$0 交易量
33%
20°C
$0 交易量
2%
21°C
$0 交易量
8%
22°C
$0 交易量
8%
23°C
$0 交易量
8%
24°C或以上
$0 交易量
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including Met Office and European guidance, indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on September 5 near 16–18°C under partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds that limit overnight radiative cooling. This setup aligns with trader emphasis on the 16°C and 19°C outcomes, as high pressure promotes clearer conditions than the seasonal average low of 12.7°C while preventing stronger cooling. Model consensus shows modest spread tied to minor variations in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, keeping probabilities balanced across mid-range bins rather than favoring extremes. Updated runs from Météo-France and ensemble guidance in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including Met Office and European guidance, indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on September 5 near 16–18°C under partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds that limit overnight radiative cooling. This setup aligns with trader emphasis on the 16°C and 19°C outcomes, as high pressure promotes clearer conditions than the seasonal average low of 12.7°C while preventing stronger cooling. Model consensus shows modest spread tied to minor variations in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, keeping probabilities balanced across mid-range bins rather than favoring extremes. Updated runs from Météo-France and ensemble guidance in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models, including Met Office and European guidance, indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on September 5 near 16–18°C under partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds that limit overnight radiative cooling. This setup aligns with trader emphasis on the 16°C and 19°C outcomes, as high pressure promotes clearer conditions than the seasonal average low of 12.7°C while preventing stronger cooling. Model consensus shows modest spread tied to minor variations in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, keeping probabilities balanced across mid-range bins rather than favoring extremes. Updated runs from Météo-France and ensemble guidance in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions