Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the Met Office and European sources points to overnight lows in Paris of 16–19°C on September 4 under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds shifting northwest, and minimal precipitation. This range aligns with the market-implied probabilities clustering on 18–19°C, as traders weigh subtle differences in model guidance on cloud cover timing and urban heat retention that can shift the precise minimum by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 13°C provide context, but current stable high-pressure influence and above-normal warmth keep colder outcomes below 17°C at lower implied odds. Updated model runs and official observations the morning of September 4 will likely resolve remaining uncertainty among the closely matched leading outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月4日巴黎最低溫度？
9月4日巴黎最低溫度？
18°C 46%
19°C 43%
17°C 34%
20°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
14°C或以下
6%
15°C
6%
16°C
6%
17°C
34%
18°C
41%
19°C
40%
20°C
9%
21°C
9%
22°C
6%
23°C
6%
24°C或以上
2%
18°C 46%
19°C 43%
17°C 34%
20°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
14°C或以下
$0 交易量
6%
15°C
$0 交易量
6%
16°C
$0 交易量
6%
17°C
$0 交易量
34%
18°C
$66 交易量
41%
19°C
$3,258 交易量
40%
20°C
$0 交易量
9%
21°C
$0 交易量
9%
22°C
$0 交易量
6%
23°C
$0 交易量
6%
24°C或以上
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the Met Office and European sources points to overnight lows in Paris of 16–19°C on September 4 under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds shifting northwest, and minimal precipitation. This range aligns with the market-implied probabilities clustering on 18–19°C, as traders weigh subtle differences in model guidance on cloud cover timing and urban heat retention that can shift the precise minimum by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 13°C provide context, but current stable high-pressure influence and above-normal warmth keep colder outcomes below 17°C at lower implied odds. Updated model runs and official observations the morning of September 4 will likely resolve remaining uncertainty among the closely matched leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$3,324結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the Met Office and European sources points to overnight lows in Paris of 16–19°C on September 4 under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds shifting northwest, and minimal precipitation. This range aligns with the market-implied probabilities clustering on 18–19°C, as traders weigh subtle differences in model guidance on cloud cover timing and urban heat retention that can shift the precise minimum by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 13°C provide context, but current stable high-pressure influence and above-normal warmth keep colder outcomes below 17°C at lower implied odds. Updated model runs and official observations the morning of September 4 will likely resolve remaining uncertainty among the closely matched leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,324結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent forecast model consensus from agencies including the Met Office and European sources points to overnight lows in Paris of 16–19°C on September 4 under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds shifting northwest, and minimal precipitation. This range aligns with the market-implied probabilities clustering on 18–19°C, as traders weigh subtle differences in model guidance on cloud cover timing and urban heat retention that can shift the precise minimum by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 13°C provide context, but current stable high-pressure influence and above-normal warmth keep colder outcomes below 17°C at lower implied odds. Updated model runs and official observations the morning of September 4 will likely resolve remaining uncertainty among the closely matched leading outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions