Recent forecasts for Chengdu on September 5 show highs clustered in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius under mostly sunny or clear conditions driven by a strengthening high-pressure system. Light winds, low humidity around 40-50%, and minimal cloud cover support strong daytime solar heating, with official Chinese meteorological guidance and several models pointing to 33°C while others allow for peaks near 35°C depending on exact timing of any scattered afternoon convection or urban heat effects. The tight spread in market-implied odds around 33–36°C reflects this model divergence and the sensitivity of maximum temperature to small variations in insolation and boundary-layer mixing, with new runs from global and regional models expected to narrow the range ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月5日成都最高溫度？
9月5日成都最高溫度？
35°C 27%
34°C 23%
33°C 17%
36°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
28°C或以下
3%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
5%
33°C
17%
34°C
23%
35°C
27%
36°C
12%
37°C
5%
38°C或以上
2%
35°C 27%
34°C 23%
33°C 17%
36°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
28°C或以下
$0 交易量
3%
29°C
$0 交易量
4%
30°C
$10 交易量
2%
31°C
$16 交易量
3%
32°C
$20 交易量
5%
33°C
$2 交易量
17%
34°C
$0 交易量
23%
35°C
$0 交易量
27%
36°C
$17 交易量
12%
37°C
$0 交易量
5%
38°C或以上
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu on September 5 show highs clustered in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius under mostly sunny or clear conditions driven by a strengthening high-pressure system. Light winds, low humidity around 40-50%, and minimal cloud cover support strong daytime solar heating, with official Chinese meteorological guidance and several models pointing to 33°C while others allow for peaks near 35°C depending on exact timing of any scattered afternoon convection or urban heat effects. The tight spread in market-implied odds around 33–36°C reflects this model divergence and the sensitivity of maximum temperature to small variations in insolation and boundary-layer mixing, with new runs from global and regional models expected to narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$65結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu on September 5 show highs clustered in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius under mostly sunny or clear conditions driven by a strengthening high-pressure system. Light winds, low humidity around 40-50%, and minimal cloud cover support strong daytime solar heating, with official Chinese meteorological guidance and several models pointing to 33°C while others allow for peaks near 35°C depending on exact timing of any scattered afternoon convection or urban heat effects. The tight spread in market-implied odds around 33–36°C reflects this model divergence and the sensitivity of maximum temperature to small variations in insolation and boundary-layer mixing, with new runs from global and regional models expected to narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$65結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts for Chengdu on September 5 show highs clustered in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius under mostly sunny or clear conditions driven by a strengthening high-pressure system. Light winds, low humidity around 40-50%, and minimal cloud cover support strong daytime solar heating, with official Chinese meteorological guidance and several models pointing to 33°C while others allow for peaks near 35°C depending on exact timing of any scattered afternoon convection or urban heat effects. The tight spread in market-implied odds around 33–36°C reflects this model divergence and the sensitivity of maximum temperature to small variations in insolation and boundary-layer mixing, with new runs from global and regional models expected to narrow the range ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions