Recent forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate Chengdu's overnight low on September 5 will likely settle in the low-to-mid 20s °C under persistent subtropical high pressure, with partly cloudy skies limiting radiative cooling. Basin topography and light winds further moderate diurnal swings, keeping minimums well above historical early-September averages near 19–20 °C while daytime highs remain elevated. Minor model differences in cloud timing or localized moisture could nudge the exact low by 1–2 °C, sustaining tight trader sentiment between 21–24 °C outcomes and balanced probabilities on the broader tails. Updated agency guidance ahead of the date will refine these estimates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月5日成都最低溫度？
9月5日成都最低溫度？
18°C或以下 100%
20°C 50%
24°C 50%
25°C 50%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
18°C或以下
100%
19°C
49%
20°C
50%
21°C
26%
22°C
28%
23°C
34%
24°C
50%
25°C
50%
26°C
49%
27°C
49%
28°C或更高
2%
18°C或以下 100%
20°C 50%
24°C 50%
25°C 50%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
18°C或以下
$0 交易量
100%
19°C
$0 交易量
49%
20°C
$0 交易量
50%
21°C
$0 交易量
26%
22°C
$0 交易量
28%
23°C
$0 交易量
34%
24°C
$0 交易量
50%
25°C
$0 交易量
50%
26°C
$0 交易量
49%
27°C
$0 交易量
49%
28°C或更高
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate Chengdu's overnight low on September 5 will likely settle in the low-to-mid 20s °C under persistent subtropical high pressure, with partly cloudy skies limiting radiative cooling. Basin topography and light winds further moderate diurnal swings, keeping minimums well above historical early-September averages near 19–20 °C while daytime highs remain elevated. Minor model differences in cloud timing or localized moisture could nudge the exact low by 1–2 °C, sustaining tight trader sentiment between 21–24 °C outcomes and balanced probabilities on the broader tails. Updated agency guidance ahead of the date will refine these estimates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate Chengdu's overnight low on September 5 will likely settle in the low-to-mid 20s °C under persistent subtropical high pressure, with partly cloudy skies limiting radiative cooling. Basin topography and light winds further moderate diurnal swings, keeping minimums well above historical early-September averages near 19–20 °C while daytime highs remain elevated. Minor model differences in cloud timing or localized moisture could nudge the exact low by 1–2 °C, sustaining tight trader sentiment between 21–24 °C outcomes and balanced probabilities on the broader tails. Updated agency guidance ahead of the date will refine these estimates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate Chengdu's overnight low on September 5 will likely settle in the low-to-mid 20s °C under persistent subtropical high pressure, with partly cloudy skies limiting radiative cooling. Basin topography and light winds further moderate diurnal swings, keeping minimums well above historical early-September averages near 19–20 °C while daytime highs remain elevated. Minor model differences in cloud timing or localized moisture could nudge the exact low by 1–2 °C, sustaining tight trader sentiment between 21–24 °C outcomes and balanced probabilities on the broader tails. Updated agency guidance ahead of the date will refine these estimates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions