Recent numerical weather model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicates a high of 32–33°C for Beijing on September 5 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow. This above-average reading for early September stems from persistent high pressure and warm advection, tempered by increasing cloud cover that limits peak insolation. Market-implied odds favor 33°C over 34°C or 32°C because ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention, with any earlier clearing or stronger winds potentially shaving 1°C. A cooling trend and rain risk emerge by September 7, so traders will closely monitor the next 48-hour model updates for final adjustments to maximum temperature thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月5日北京最高溫度？
9月5日北京最高溫度？
33°C 42%
34°C 29%
32°C 19%
31°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
28°C或以下
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
5%
32°C
19%
33°C
42%
34°C
29%
35°C
5%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C或更高
<1%
33°C 42%
34°C 29%
32°C 19%
31°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
28°C或以下
$153 交易量
2%
29°C
$204 交易量
1%
30°C
$123 交易量
3%
31°C
$151 交易量
5%
32°C
$877 交易量
19%
33°C
$394 交易量
42%
34°C
$1,280 交易量
29%
35°C
$255 交易量
5%
36°C
$125 交易量
2%
37°C
$93 交易量
1%
38°C或更高
$390 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicates a high of 32–33°C for Beijing on September 5 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow. This above-average reading for early September stems from persistent high pressure and warm advection, tempered by increasing cloud cover that limits peak insolation. Market-implied odds favor 33°C over 34°C or 32°C because ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention, with any earlier clearing or stronger winds potentially shaving 1°C. A cooling trend and rain risk emerge by September 7, so traders will closely monitor the next 48-hour model updates for final adjustments to maximum temperature thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$4,045結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicates a high of 32–33°C for Beijing on September 5 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow. This above-average reading for early September stems from persistent high pressure and warm advection, tempered by increasing cloud cover that limits peak insolation. Market-implied odds favor 33°C over 34°C or 32°C because ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention, with any earlier clearing or stronger winds potentially shaving 1°C. A cooling trend and rain risk emerge by September 7, so traders will closely monitor the next 48-hour model updates for final adjustments to maximum temperature thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,045結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent numerical weather model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicates a high of 32–33°C for Beijing on September 5 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow. This above-average reading for early September stems from persistent high pressure and warm advection, tempered by increasing cloud cover that limits peak insolation. Market-implied odds favor 33°C over 34°C or 32°C because ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention, with any earlier clearing or stronger winds potentially shaving 1°C. A cooling trend and rain risk emerge by September 7, so traders will closely monitor the next 48-hour model updates for final adjustments to maximum temperature thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions