Current forecast guidance from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to a minimum temperature of 20–22°C in Beijing on September 4 under southerly flow and mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions, with limited nocturnal cooling expected from light winds and moderate humidity. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 15–19°C because small differences in model boundary-layer schemes, cloud timing, and urban heat-island effects can shift the overnight low by 1–3°C, while historical September minima near 15°C remain possible if a brief northerly surge arrives earlier than projected. Upcoming high-resolution model runs and the next official 24-hour forecast update will likely narrow the range before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月4日北京最低溫度？
9月4日北京最低溫度？
15°C 88%
16°C 88%
17°C 88%
18°C 88%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
13°C或以下
35%
14°C
18%
15°C
88%
16°C
88%
17°C
88%
18°C
88%
19°C
88%
20°C
88%
21°C
88%
22°C
2%
23°C或以上
34%
15°C 88%
16°C 88%
17°C 88%
18°C 88%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
13°C或以下
$48 交易量
35%
14°C
$0 交易量
18%
15°C
$0 交易量
88%
16°C
$0 交易量
88%
17°C
$0 交易量
88%
18°C
$0 交易量
88%
19°C
$0 交易量
88%
20°C
$0 交易量
88%
21°C
$0 交易量
88%
22°C
$0 交易量
2%
23°C或以上
$48 交易量
34%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to a minimum temperature of 20–22°C in Beijing on September 4 under southerly flow and mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions, with limited nocturnal cooling expected from light winds and moderate humidity. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 15–19°C because small differences in model boundary-layer schemes, cloud timing, and urban heat-island effects can shift the overnight low by 1–3°C, while historical September minima near 15°C remain possible if a brief northerly surge arrives earlier than projected. Upcoming high-resolution model runs and the next official 24-hour forecast update will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$96結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to a minimum temperature of 20–22°C in Beijing on September 4 under southerly flow and mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions, with limited nocturnal cooling expected from light winds and moderate humidity. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 15–19°C because small differences in model boundary-layer schemes, cloud timing, and urban heat-island effects can shift the overnight low by 1–3°C, while historical September minima near 15°C remain possible if a brief northerly surge arrives earlier than projected. Upcoming high-resolution model runs and the next official 24-hour forecast update will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$96結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent forecast guidance from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to a minimum temperature of 20–22°C in Beijing on September 4 under southerly flow and mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions, with limited nocturnal cooling expected from light winds and moderate humidity. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 15–19°C because small differences in model boundary-layer schemes, cloud timing, and urban heat-island effects can shift the overnight low by 1–3°C, while historical September minima near 15°C remain possible if a brief northerly surge arrives earlier than projected. Upcoming high-resolution model runs and the next official 24-hour forecast update will likely narrow the range before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions