Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a likely minimum near 19–21°C for Beijing on September 3 under clear to partly cloudy skies, with light southerly winds limiting advective cooling. Trader sentiment remains balanced across bins because small shifts in nocturnal radiative cooling, boundary-layer mixing, or dew-point depression—driven by subtle changes in humidity and wind speed—can easily move the overnight low by 2–4°C. Historical September climatology shows a 1.5–2°C standard deviation around the 18.8°C mean, and model ensembles retain spread in the final 48 hours before resolution. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z runs from global centers will refine whether stable high pressure or a weak trough alters the minimum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月3日北京最低溫度？
9月3日北京最低溫度？
13°C or below 69%
23°C or higher 46%
17°C 31%
18°C 29%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
13°C or below
69%
14°C
27%
15°C
25%
16°C
25%
17°C
31%
18°C
29%
19°C
25%
20°C
25%
21°C
25%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
46%
13°C or below 69%
23°C or higher 46%
17°C 31%
18°C 29%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
13°C or below
$5 交易量
69%
14°C
$5 交易量
27%
15°C
$0 交易量
25%
16°C
$0 交易量
25%
17°C
$0 交易量
31%
18°C
$0 交易量
29%
19°C
$0 交易量
25%
20°C
$0 交易量
25%
21°C
$0 交易量
25%
22°C
$5 交易量
2%
23°C or higher
$5 交易量
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a likely minimum near 19–21°C for Beijing on September 3 under clear to partly cloudy skies, with light southerly winds limiting advective cooling. Trader sentiment remains balanced across bins because small shifts in nocturnal radiative cooling, boundary-layer mixing, or dew-point depression—driven by subtle changes in humidity and wind speed—can easily move the overnight low by 2–4°C. Historical September climatology shows a 1.5–2°C standard deviation around the 18.8°C mean, and model ensembles retain spread in the final 48 hours before resolution. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z runs from global centers will refine whether stable high pressure or a weak trough alters the minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$20結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a likely minimum near 19–21°C for Beijing on September 3 under clear to partly cloudy skies, with light southerly winds limiting advective cooling. Trader sentiment remains balanced across bins because small shifts in nocturnal radiative cooling, boundary-layer mixing, or dew-point depression—driven by subtle changes in humidity and wind speed—can easily move the overnight low by 2–4°C. Historical September climatology shows a 1.5–2°C standard deviation around the 18.8°C mean, and model ensembles retain spread in the final 48 hours before resolution. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z runs from global centers will refine whether stable high pressure or a weak trough alters the minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$20結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent forecasts from multiple models indicate a likely minimum near 19–21°C for Beijing on September 3 under clear to partly cloudy skies, with light southerly winds limiting advective cooling. Trader sentiment remains balanced across bins because small shifts in nocturnal radiative cooling, boundary-layer mixing, or dew-point depression—driven by subtle changes in humidity and wind speed—can easily move the overnight low by 2–4°C. Historical September climatology shows a 1.5–2°C standard deviation around the 18.8°C mean, and model ensembles retain spread in the final 48 hours before resolution. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z runs from global centers will refine whether stable high pressure or a weak trough alters the minimum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions