Forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau and aligned models indicate a minimum temperature of 20–23°C on September 3 under persistent high-pressure influence, with clear to mostly cloudy skies and light winds limiting overnight cooling. Recent observations show overnight lows in the high teens to low 20s amid early-September patterns of diurnal ranges near 12–14°C, consistent with the market's strong weighting toward 22–23°C outcomes. No significant frontal systems or precipitation are expected to alter radiative cooling before the daily minimum is recorded, though subtle humidity variations around 50–70% could produce minor deviations within the forecast envelope. Updated model runs and official briefings remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月3日成都最低溫度？
9月3日成都最低溫度？
20°C 10%
21°C 6%
22°C 6%
19°C 2%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
17°C or below
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
10%
21°C
6%
22°C
26%
23°C
55%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
20°C 10%
21°C 6%
22°C 6%
19°C 2%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
17°C or below
$112 交易量
1%
18°C
$109 交易量
1%
19°C
$136 交易量
2%
20°C
$164 交易量
10%
21°C
$170 交易量
6%
22°C
$43 交易量
26%
23°C
$247 交易量
55%
24°C
$160 交易量
<1%
25°C
$55 交易量
<1%
26°C
$20 交易量
<1%
27°C or higher
$40 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau and aligned models indicate a minimum temperature of 20–23°C on September 3 under persistent high-pressure influence, with clear to mostly cloudy skies and light winds limiting overnight cooling. Recent observations show overnight lows in the high teens to low 20s amid early-September patterns of diurnal ranges near 12–14°C, consistent with the market's strong weighting toward 22–23°C outcomes. No significant frontal systems or precipitation are expected to alter radiative cooling before the daily minimum is recorded, though subtle humidity variations around 50–70% could produce minor deviations within the forecast envelope. Updated model runs and official briefings remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,256結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau and aligned models indicate a minimum temperature of 20–23°C on September 3 under persistent high-pressure influence, with clear to mostly cloudy skies and light winds limiting overnight cooling. Recent observations show overnight lows in the high teens to low 20s amid early-September patterns of diurnal ranges near 12–14°C, consistent with the market's strong weighting toward 22–23°C outcomes. No significant frontal systems or precipitation are expected to alter radiative cooling before the daily minimum is recorded, though subtle humidity variations around 50–70% could produce minor deviations within the forecast envelope. Updated model runs and official briefings remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,256結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETForecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau and aligned models indicate a minimum temperature of 20–23°C on September 3 under persistent high-pressure influence, with clear to mostly cloudy skies and light winds limiting overnight cooling. Recent observations show overnight lows in the high teens to low 20s amid early-September patterns of diurnal ranges near 12–14°C, consistent with the market's strong weighting toward 22–23°C outcomes. No significant frontal systems or precipitation are expected to alter radiative cooling before the daily minimum is recorded, though subtle humidity variations around 50–70% could produce minor deviations within the forecast envelope. Updated model runs and official briefings remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions