Recent forecast models from GFS and ECMWF indicate a frontal passage over Moscow on September 5 will bring increased cloud cover, scattered rain or thunderstorms, and southwesterly winds, capping daytime highs near 16–18°C and suppressing the warmer conditions seen earlier in the week. This aligns with climatological September averages around 17°C, where precipitation and reduced insolation typically limit peak temperatures. Trader consensus reflects this tight cluster, with 17°C and 18°C leading due to model agreement on modest warming potential before the system arrives, while acknowledging uncertainty from variable rainfall timing or slight shifts in steering flow that could nudge the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs on September 4 will provide further clarity ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月5日莫斯科最高溫度？
9月5日莫斯科最高溫度？
18°C 40%
17°C 37%
20°C 17%
16°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
13°C或以下
6%
14°C
6%
15°C
4%
16°C
16%
17°C
37%
18°C
40%
19°C
10%
20°C
17%
21°C
6%
22°C
6%
23°C或更高
6%
18°C 40%
17°C 37%
20°C 17%
16°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
13°C或以下
$0 交易量
6%
14°C
$0 交易量
6%
15°C
$20 交易量
4%
16°C
$23 交易量
16%
17°C
$13 交易量
37%
18°C
$32 交易量
40%
19°C
$0 交易量
10%
20°C
$0 交易量
17%
21°C
$0 交易量
6%
22°C
$0 交易量
6%
23°C或更高
$0 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from GFS and ECMWF indicate a frontal passage over Moscow on September 5 will bring increased cloud cover, scattered rain or thunderstorms, and southwesterly winds, capping daytime highs near 16–18°C and suppressing the warmer conditions seen earlier in the week. This aligns with climatological September averages around 17°C, where precipitation and reduced insolation typically limit peak temperatures. Trader consensus reflects this tight cluster, with 17°C and 18°C leading due to model agreement on modest warming potential before the system arrives, while acknowledging uncertainty from variable rainfall timing or slight shifts in steering flow that could nudge the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs on September 4 will provide further clarity ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$88結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from GFS and ECMWF indicate a frontal passage over Moscow on September 5 will bring increased cloud cover, scattered rain or thunderstorms, and southwesterly winds, capping daytime highs near 16–18°C and suppressing the warmer conditions seen earlier in the week. This aligns with climatological September averages around 17°C, where precipitation and reduced insolation typically limit peak temperatures. Trader consensus reflects this tight cluster, with 17°C and 18°C leading due to model agreement on modest warming potential before the system arrives, while acknowledging uncertainty from variable rainfall timing or slight shifts in steering flow that could nudge the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs on September 4 will provide further clarity ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$88結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecast models from GFS and ECMWF indicate a frontal passage over Moscow on September 5 will bring increased cloud cover, scattered rain or thunderstorms, and southwesterly winds, capping daytime highs near 16–18°C and suppressing the warmer conditions seen earlier in the week. This aligns with climatological September averages around 17°C, where precipitation and reduced insolation typically limit peak temperatures. Trader consensus reflects this tight cluster, with 17°C and 18°C leading due to model agreement on modest warming potential before the system arrives, while acknowledging uncertainty from variable rainfall timing or slight shifts in steering flow that could nudge the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs on September 4 will provide further clarity ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions