**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 7 likely between 9–11°C, driving the tightly clustered market odds.** High pressure (around 1025 hPa) building over the region promotes light winds and radiative cooling overnight, with temperatures bottoming out in the early morning hours under variable cloud cover. Official guidance from sources such as the Polish meteorological service and European model runs (e.g., detailed hourly tables) shows overnight lows dipping to roughly 11°C, with some ensembles suggesting 9–10°C if skies clear more than expected. This September timing aligns with seasonal cooling, where average minimums hover near 10°C, but recent shifts from westerly flow and showers to calmer conditions have tightened the range. Traders weigh the balance between confirmed model consensus on mild highs (19–21°C) and uncertainty in exact nocturnal cooling rates tied to humidity, dew points near 10°C, and any lingering low-level cloud. Upcoming model updates and satellite observations of cloud trends will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月7日華沙的最低溫度？
9月7日華沙的最低溫度？
12°C 49%
5°C或以下 41%
10°C 33%
11°C 32%
最新
最新
2026-09-07
5°C或以下
41%
6°C
16%
7°C
17%
8°C
16%
9°C
31%
10°C
33%
11°C
32%
12°C
49%
13°C
17%
14°C
15%
15°C或以上
2%
12°C 49%
5°C或以下 41%
10°C 33%
11°C 32%
最新
最新
2026-09-07
5°C或以下
$0 交易量
41%
6°C
$0 交易量
16%
7°C
$0 交易量
17%
8°C
$0 交易量
16%
9°C
$0 交易量
31%
10°C
$0 交易量
33%
11°C
$0 交易量
32%
12°C
$0 交易量
49%
13°C
$0 交易量
17%
14°C
$0 交易量
15%
15°C或以上
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 7 likely between 9–11°C, driving the tightly clustered market odds.** High pressure (around 1025 hPa) building over the region promotes light winds and radiative cooling overnight, with temperatures bottoming out in the early morning hours under variable cloud cover. Official guidance from sources such as the Polish meteorological service and European model runs (e.g., detailed hourly tables) shows overnight lows dipping to roughly 11°C, with some ensembles suggesting 9–10°C if skies clear more than expected.
This September timing aligns with seasonal cooling, where average minimums hover near 10°C, but recent shifts from westerly flow and showers to calmer conditions have tightened the range. Traders weigh the balance between confirmed model consensus on mild highs (19–21°C) and uncertainty in exact nocturnal cooling rates tied to humidity, dew points near 10°C, and any lingering low-level cloud. Upcoming model updates and satellite observations of cloud trends will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-07市場開放時間
Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 7 likely between 9–11°C, driving the tightly clustered market odds.** High pressure (around 1025 hPa) building over the region promotes light winds and radiative cooling overnight, with temperatures bottoming out in the early morning hours under variable cloud cover. Official guidance from sources such as the Polish meteorological service and European model runs (e.g., detailed hourly tables) shows overnight lows dipping to roughly 11°C, with some ensembles suggesting 9–10°C if skies clear more than expected.
This September timing aligns with seasonal cooling, where average minimums hover near 10°C, but recent shifts from westerly flow and showers to calmer conditions have tightened the range. Traders weigh the balance between confirmed model consensus on mild highs (19–21°C) and uncertainty in exact nocturnal cooling rates tied to humidity, dew points near 10°C, and any lingering low-level cloud. Upcoming model updates and satellite observations of cloud trends will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-07市場開放時間
Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 7 likely between 9–11°C, driving the tightly clustered market odds.** High pressure (around 1025 hPa) building over the region promotes light winds and radiative cooling overnight, with temperatures bottoming out in the early morning hours under variable cloud cover. Official guidance from sources such as the Polish meteorological service and European model runs (e.g., detailed hourly tables) shows overnight lows dipping to roughly 11°C, with some ensembles suggesting 9–10°C if skies clear more than expected. This September timing aligns with seasonal cooling, where average minimums hover near 10°C, but recent shifts from westerly flow and showers to calmer conditions have tightened the range. Traders weigh the balance between confirmed model consensus on mild highs (19–21°C) and uncertainty in exact nocturnal cooling rates tied to humidity, dew points near 10°C, and any lingering low-level cloud. Upcoming model updates and satellite observations of cloud trends will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions