Current numerical weather models from sources including the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts converge on an overnight minimum of 11–13°C for Warsaw on September 6, underpinning the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. A building high-pressure ridge following recent westerly flow supports gradual radiative cooling after daytime highs near 18–19°C, with dew points near 10–11°C and light winds limiting further descent below the 11°C threshold. Historical September climatology places average lows near 10°C, yet persistent cloud cover and urban heat effects in central Warsaw add minor upward bias. Final Polish Institute of Meteorology observations at Chopin Airport or equivalent stations will resolve the market after local midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月6日華沙的最低溫度？
9月6日華沙的最低溫度？
8°C或以下 48%
18°C或以上 40%
12°C 37%
13°C 34%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
8°C或以下
48%
9°C
7%
10°C
14%
11°C
32%
12°C
37%
13°C
32%
14°C
15%
15°C
15%
16°C
6%
17°C
3%
18°C或以上
40%
8°C或以下 48%
18°C或以上 40%
12°C 37%
13°C 34%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
8°C或以下
$3 交易量
48%
9°C
$0 交易量
7%
10°C
$2 交易量
14%
11°C
$0 交易量
32%
12°C
$0 交易量
37%
13°C
$3 交易量
32%
14°C
$0 交易量
15%
15°C
$0 交易量
15%
16°C
$0 交易量
6%
17°C
$0 交易量
3%
18°C或以上
$0 交易量
40%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models from sources including the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts converge on an overnight minimum of 11–13°C for Warsaw on September 6, underpinning the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. A building high-pressure ridge following recent westerly flow supports gradual radiative cooling after daytime highs near 18–19°C, with dew points near 10–11°C and light winds limiting further descent below the 11°C threshold. Historical September climatology places average lows near 10°C, yet persistent cloud cover and urban heat effects in central Warsaw add minor upward bias. Final Polish Institute of Meteorology observations at Chopin Airport or equivalent stations will resolve the market after local midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$8結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models from sources including the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts converge on an overnight minimum of 11–13°C for Warsaw on September 6, underpinning the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. A building high-pressure ridge following recent westerly flow supports gradual radiative cooling after daytime highs near 18–19°C, with dew points near 10–11°C and light winds limiting further descent below the 11°C threshold. Historical September climatology places average lows near 10°C, yet persistent cloud cover and urban heat effects in central Warsaw add minor upward bias. Final Polish Institute of Meteorology observations at Chopin Airport or equivalent stations will resolve the market after local midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent numerical weather models from sources including the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts converge on an overnight minimum of 11–13°C for Warsaw on September 6, underpinning the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. A building high-pressure ridge following recent westerly flow supports gradual radiative cooling after daytime highs near 18–19°C, with dew points near 10–11°C and light winds limiting further descent below the 11°C threshold. Historical September climatology places average lows near 10°C, yet persistent cloud cover and urban heat effects in central Warsaw add minor upward bias. Final Polish Institute of Meteorology observations at Chopin Airport or equivalent stations will resolve the market after local midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions