Recent forecast updates from models like GFS and ECMWF highlight uncertainty in Warsaw's overnight minimum on September 5, with projected lows clustering around 12–14°C amid westerly flow, scattered showers, and variable cloud cover that modulates radiative cooling. Mild Atlantic air advection keeps temperatures above typical early-autumn baselines, while wind speeds of 15–30 km/h and 50–80% humidity reduce the potential for sharper drops. Historical September minima near 10–12°C provide context, yet current conditions favor outcomes near the market's closely matched 12°C-or-below and 13–14°C bins. Final resolution depends on official station readings as precipitation and steering patterns evolve through the night.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月5日華沙的最低溫度?
12°C或以下 46%
13°C 44%
14°C 43%
15°C 40%
12°C或以下
46%
13°C
44%
14°C
43%
15°C
40%
16°C
39%
17°C
16%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C或以上
<1%
12°C或以下 46%
13°C 44%
14°C 43%
15°C 40%
12°C或以下
46%
13°C
44%
14°C
43%
15°C
40%
16°C
39%
17°C
16%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast updates from models like GFS and ECMWF highlight uncertainty in Warsaw's overnight minimum on September 5, with projected lows clustering around 12–14°C amid westerly flow, scattered showers, and variable cloud cover that modulates radiative cooling. Mild Atlantic air advection keeps temperatures above typical early-autumn baselines, while wind speeds of 15–30 km/h and 50–80% humidity reduce the potential for sharper drops. Historical September minima near 10–12°C provide context, yet current conditions favor outcomes near the market's closely matched 12°C-or-below and 13–14°C bins. Final resolution depends on official station readings as precipitation and steering patterns evolve through the night.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions