Recent model consensus and climatological data indicate minimum temperatures in Jeddah on September 7 will likely fall between 27–30°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for 30°C and lower thresholds. High humidity from the adjacent Red Sea limits nocturnal radiative cooling, while light northwest winds and minimal cloud cover typical this time of year support gradual temperature drops after sunset. Historical September lows average 27–29°C, with rare excursions below 25°C tied to unusual clear, calm conditions or shifts in regional pressure patterns. Traders appear to weigh the low probability of enhanced cooling against the more probable stable warm-night regime, pending updated forecasts from agencies monitoring local atmospheric stability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月7日吉達最低溫度?
25°C或以下 85%
30°C 52%
31°C 50%
27°C 49%
25°C或以下
85%
26°C
47%
27°C
49%
28°C
25%
29°C
27%
30°C
36%
31°C
50%
32°C
49%
33°C
49%
34°C
48%
35°C或更高
18%
25°C或以下 85%
30°C 52%
31°C 50%
27°C 49%
25°C或以下
85%
26°C
47%
27°C
49%
28°C
25%
29°C
27%
30°C
36%
31°C
50%
32°C
49%
33°C
49%
34°C
48%
35°C或更高
18%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model consensus and climatological data indicate minimum temperatures in Jeddah on September 7 will likely fall between 27–30°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for 30°C and lower thresholds. High humidity from the adjacent Red Sea limits nocturnal radiative cooling, while light northwest winds and minimal cloud cover typical this time of year support gradual temperature drops after sunset. Historical September lows average 27–29°C, with rare excursions below 25°C tied to unusual clear, calm conditions or shifts in regional pressure patterns. Traders appear to weigh the low probability of enhanced cooling against the more probable stable warm-night regime, pending updated forecasts from agencies monitoring local atmospheric stability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions