**Trader sentiment for Wellington's September 6 lowest temperature centers on observed overnight minima near 8–10 °C amid a southerly wind shift.** Official station reports and model consensus highlighted a transition to southeast flow behind a cold front, advecting cooler maritime air with widespread cloud cover, light rain, and reduced diurnal range that limited daytime warming while capping radiative cooling at night. This setup produced measured lows around 8 °C at Wellington Airport and nearby sites, with 47–49 °F (8–9 °C) readings common under high humidity and moderate winds. The near-even split between 10 °C and 11 °C outcomes reflects uncertainty in the precise daily minimum at the resolution station, as small differences in timing of the coldest hour or micro-site variations can shift the official value. Historical early-September averages (roughly 8–9 °C lows) and the absence of extreme cold outbreaks kept probabilities for 9 °C or below low.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月6日惠靈頓的最低溫度?
11°C 99.6%
9°C 17.6%
10°C <1%
8°C或以下 <1%
$1,333 交易量
$1,333 交易量
8°C或以下
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
是
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C或以上
否
11°C 99.6%
9°C 17.6%
10°C <1%
8°C或以下 <1%
$1,333 交易量
$1,333 交易量
8°C或以下
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
是
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Trader sentiment for Wellington's September 6 lowest temperature centers on observed overnight minima near 8–10 °C amid a southerly wind shift.** Official station reports and model consensus highlighted a transition to southeast flow behind a cold front, advecting cooler maritime air with widespread cloud cover, light rain, and reduced diurnal range that limited daytime warming while capping radiative cooling at night. This setup produced measured lows around 8 °C at Wellington Airport and nearby sites, with 47–49 °F (8–9 °C) readings common under high humidity and moderate winds. The near-even split between 10 °C and 11 °C outcomes reflects uncertainty in the precise daily minimum at the resolution station, as small differences in timing of the coldest hour or micro-site variations can shift the official value. Historical early-September averages (roughly 8–9 °C lows) and the absence of extreme cold outbreaks kept probabilities for 9 °C or below low.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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