**Official MetService forecasts for Wellington on August 30 point to a minimum near 9°C under clear to fine conditions driven by strong northwesterlies, keeping overnight temperatures relatively mild compared to typical late-winter radiational cooling.** These winds advect warmer maritime air across the region, limiting the drop despite clear skies that would otherwise favor greater cooling. Historical climatology shows average August lows around 8–10°C, so current model consensus aligns closely with that baseline and explains why market-implied odds concentrate on 8–10°C outcomes. No incoming cold fronts or significant wind shifts are projected before the daily minimum occurs, supporting trader positioning around these values while acknowledging minor model spread in exact overnight readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日惠靈頓的最低溫度？
8月30日惠靈頓的最低溫度？
8°C 79%
7°C 78%
9°C 5%
6°C or below <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
6°C or below
1%
7°C
78%
8°C
79%
9°C
5%
10°C
-
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
8°C 79%
7°C 78%
9°C 5%
6°C or below <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
6°C or below
$10 交易量
1%
7°C
$0 交易量
78%
8°C
$10 交易量
79%
9°C
$106 交易量
5%
10°C
$445 交易量
-
11°C
$235 交易量
<1%
12°C
$15 交易量
1%
13°C
$30 交易量
<1%
14°C
$40 交易量
<1%
15°C
$145 交易量
<1%
16°C or higher
$351 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official MetService forecasts for Wellington on August 30 point to a minimum near 9°C under clear to fine conditions driven by strong northwesterlies, keeping overnight temperatures relatively mild compared to typical late-winter radiational cooling.** These winds advect warmer maritime air across the region, limiting the drop despite clear skies that would otherwise favor greater cooling. Historical climatology shows average August lows around 8–10°C, so current model consensus aligns closely with that baseline and explains why market-implied odds concentrate on 8–10°C outcomes. No incoming cold fronts or significant wind shifts are projected before the daily minimum occurs, supporting trader positioning around these values while acknowledging minor model spread in exact overnight readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$1,387結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official MetService forecasts for Wellington on August 30 point to a minimum near 9°C under clear to fine conditions driven by strong northwesterlies, keeping overnight temperatures relatively mild compared to typical late-winter radiational cooling.** These winds advect warmer maritime air across the region, limiting the drop despite clear skies that would otherwise favor greater cooling. Historical climatology shows average August lows around 8–10°C, so current model consensus aligns closely with that baseline and explains why market-implied odds concentrate on 8–10°C outcomes. No incoming cold fronts or significant wind shifts are projected before the daily minimum occurs, supporting trader positioning around these values while acknowledging minor model spread in exact overnight readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,387結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET**Official MetService forecasts for Wellington on August 30 point to a minimum near 9°C under clear to fine conditions driven by strong northwesterlies, keeping overnight temperatures relatively mild compared to typical late-winter radiational cooling.** These winds advect warmer maritime air across the region, limiting the drop despite clear skies that would otherwise favor greater cooling. Historical climatology shows average August lows around 8–10°C, so current model consensus aligns closely with that baseline and explains why market-implied odds concentrate on 8–10°C outcomes. No incoming cold fronts or significant wind shifts are projected before the daily minimum occurs, supporting trader positioning around these values while acknowledging minor model spread in exact overnight readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions