Recent forecasts for Wuhan indicate moderating heat on August 30 due to a typhoon trough bringing widespread cloud cover, showers, and northerly winds, shifting from the intense late-summer heatwave that produced multiple 36–38°C days. Official Chinese meteorological guidance projects a daytime high near 34°C amid persistent rain, while some numerical models suggest 31–33°C depending on precipitation timing and intensity. These conditions—reduced solar insolation from overcast skies and evaporative cooling—narrow the plausible maximum temperature range and explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32–33°C, with traders weighting ensemble uncertainty in land-based observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日武漢氣溫最高？
8月30日武漢氣溫最高？
33°C 30%
32°C 27%
34°C 14%
31°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
6%
31°C
13%
32°C
27%
33°C
30%
34°C
14%
35°C or higher
7%
33°C 30%
32°C 27%
34°C 14%
31°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
25°C or below
$50 交易量
<1%
26°C
$50 交易量
<1%
27°C
$50 交易量
<1%
28°C
$10 交易量
1%
29°C
$0 交易量
4%
30°C
$0 交易量
6%
31°C
$2 交易量
13%
32°C
$0 交易量
27%
33°C
$43 交易量
30%
34°C
$212 交易量
14%
35°C or higher
$3 交易量
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wuhan indicate moderating heat on August 30 due to a typhoon trough bringing widespread cloud cover, showers, and northerly winds, shifting from the intense late-summer heatwave that produced multiple 36–38°C days. Official Chinese meteorological guidance projects a daytime high near 34°C amid persistent rain, while some numerical models suggest 31–33°C depending on precipitation timing and intensity. These conditions—reduced solar insolation from overcast skies and evaporative cooling—narrow the plausible maximum temperature range and explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32–33°C, with traders weighting ensemble uncertainty in land-based observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$419結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wuhan indicate moderating heat on August 30 due to a typhoon trough bringing widespread cloud cover, showers, and northerly winds, shifting from the intense late-summer heatwave that produced multiple 36–38°C days. Official Chinese meteorological guidance projects a daytime high near 34°C amid persistent rain, while some numerical models suggest 31–33°C depending on precipitation timing and intensity. These conditions—reduced solar insolation from overcast skies and evaporative cooling—narrow the plausible maximum temperature range and explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32–33°C, with traders weighting ensemble uncertainty in land-based observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$419結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts for Wuhan indicate moderating heat on August 30 due to a typhoon trough bringing widespread cloud cover, showers, and northerly winds, shifting from the intense late-summer heatwave that produced multiple 36–38°C days. Official Chinese meteorological guidance projects a daytime high near 34°C amid persistent rain, while some numerical models suggest 31–33°C depending on precipitation timing and intensity. These conditions—reduced solar insolation from overcast skies and evaporative cooling—narrow the plausible maximum temperature range and explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32–33°C, with traders weighting ensemble uncertainty in land-based observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions