Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and global models converge on a peak of 36–37°C for Wuhan on August 28, sustaining trader consensus around those outcomes amid lingering subtropical summer conditions. High pressure and light northeast winds are expected to limit cloud cover and mixing, allowing surface heating to reach those levels before an approaching typhoon-related trough brings cooling and rain after the 29th. Historical late-August averages near 32–34°C underscore the current anomaly, yet model spreads introduce modest uncertainty around exact maxima and any localized convective cooling. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration ahead of the date could shift probabilities if afternoon observations trend lower.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月28日武漢氣溫最高？
8月28日武漢氣溫最高？
37°C 44%
36°C 27%
38°C 21%
35°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-28
31°C or below
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
5%
35°C
10%
36°C
27%
37°C
44%
38°C
21%
39°C
5%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
1%
37°C 44%
36°C 27%
38°C 21%
35°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-28
31°C or below
$5 交易量
1%
32°C
$5 交易量
1%
33°C
$16 交易量
1%
34°C
$0 交易量
5%
35°C
$0 交易量
10%
36°C
$11 交易量
27%
37°C
$18 交易量
44%
38°C
$17 交易量
21%
39°C
$5 交易量
5%
40°C
$55 交易量
1%
41°C or higher
$22 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and global models converge on a peak of 36–37°C for Wuhan on August 28, sustaining trader consensus around those outcomes amid lingering subtropical summer conditions. High pressure and light northeast winds are expected to limit cloud cover and mixing, allowing surface heating to reach those levels before an approaching typhoon-related trough brings cooling and rain after the 29th. Historical late-August averages near 32–34°C underscore the current anomaly, yet model spreads introduce modest uncertainty around exact maxima and any localized convective cooling. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration ahead of the date could shift probabilities if afternoon observations trend lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$154結束日期
2026-08-28市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and global models converge on a peak of 36–37°C for Wuhan on August 28, sustaining trader consensus around those outcomes amid lingering subtropical summer conditions. High pressure and light northeast winds are expected to limit cloud cover and mixing, allowing surface heating to reach those levels before an approaching typhoon-related trough brings cooling and rain after the 29th. Historical late-August averages near 32–34°C underscore the current anomaly, yet model spreads introduce modest uncertainty around exact maxima and any localized convective cooling. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration ahead of the date could shift probabilities if afternoon observations trend lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$154結束日期
2026-08-28市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and global models converge on a peak of 36–37°C for Wuhan on August 28, sustaining trader consensus around those outcomes amid lingering subtropical summer conditions. High pressure and light northeast winds are expected to limit cloud cover and mixing, allowing surface heating to reach those levels before an approaching typhoon-related trough brings cooling and rain after the 29th. Historical late-August averages near 32–34°C underscore the current anomaly, yet model spreads introduce modest uncertainty around exact maxima and any localized convective cooling. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration ahead of the date could shift probabilities if afternoon observations trend lower.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions