Traders have converged overwhelmingly on a 16°C high for Wellington on August 26 due to consistent real-time observations and forecast model outputs from official sources such as MetService New Zealand and NIWA. Current conditions feature mild northerly flows with temperatures climbing steadily through the afternoon under mostly cloudy skies, aligning closely with the 16°C threshold rather than cooler baselines typical for late winter. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this value, with minimal risk of significant warming or cooling from frontal passages. Measurement at the primary Wellington airport station remains the resolution standard, though localized urban heat or timing of peak readings could introduce minor variance if conditions shift unexpectedly before midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
8月26日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
16°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$67,381 交易量
$67,381 交易量
2026-08-26
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$67,381 交易量
$67,381 交易量
2026-08-26
10°C or below
$2,332 交易量
No
11°C
$289 交易量
No
12°C
$1,333 交易量
No
13°C
$1,699 交易量
No
14°C
$9,894 交易量
No
15°C
$19,586 交易量
No
16°C
$15,345 交易量
Yes
17°C
$11,711 交易量
No
18°C
$3,814 交易量
No
19°C
$1,110 交易量
No
20°C or higher
$269 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged overwhelmingly on a 16°C high for Wellington on August 26 due to consistent real-time observations and forecast model outputs from official sources such as MetService New Zealand and NIWA. Current conditions feature mild northerly flows with temperatures climbing steadily through the afternoon under mostly cloudy skies, aligning closely with the 16°C threshold rather than cooler baselines typical for late winter. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this value, with minimal risk of significant warming or cooling from frontal passages. Measurement at the primary Wellington airport station remains the resolution standard, though localized urban heat or timing of peak readings could introduce minor variance if conditions shift unexpectedly before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$67,381結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged overwhelmingly on a 16°C high for Wellington on August 26 due to consistent real-time observations and forecast model outputs from official sources such as MetService New Zealand and NIWA. Current conditions feature mild northerly flows with temperatures climbing steadily through the afternoon under mostly cloudy skies, aligning closely with the 16°C threshold rather than cooler baselines typical for late winter. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this value, with minimal risk of significant warming or cooling from frontal passages. Measurement at the primary Wellington airport station remains the resolution standard, though localized urban heat or timing of peak readings could introduce minor variance if conditions shift unexpectedly before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$67,381結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Traders have converged overwhelmingly on a 16°C high for Wellington on August 26 due to consistent real-time observations and forecast model outputs from official sources such as MetService New Zealand and NIWA. Current conditions feature mild northerly flows with temperatures climbing steadily through the afternoon under mostly cloudy skies, aligning closely with the 16°C threshold rather than cooler baselines typical for late winter. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this value, with minimal risk of significant warming or cooling from frontal passages. Measurement at the primary Wellington airport station remains the resolution standard, though localized urban heat or timing of peak readings could introduce minor variance if conditions shift unexpectedly before midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions