Recent forecasts from sources including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional point to a daytime high of 17–19°C in Buenos Aires on August 27 under mostly cloudy skies, southeast winds of 10–15 km/h, and a 40–60% chance of showers or storms that could limit solar heating. These conditions, typical of late Southern Hemisphere winter, favor the market’s tight clustering between 18°C and 19°C implied probabilities. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing and coverage of cloud layers, which reduce surface insolation, versus any brief clearing that would allow greater daytime warming; southerly advection of cooler maritime air from the Río de la Plata; and localized evaporative cooling from precipitation. Model spread in storm track and cloud persistence sustains uncertainty between these adjacent outcomes ahead of final observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月27日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度?
19°C 36%
18°C 28%
20°C 19%
17°C 11%
14°C or below
3%
15°C
2%
16°C
5%
17°C
11%
18°C
28%
19°C
36%
20°C
19%
21°C
4%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
19°C 36%
18°C 28%
20°C 19%
17°C 11%
14°C or below
3%
15°C
2%
16°C
5%
17°C
11%
18°C
28%
19°C
36%
20°C
19%
21°C
4%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 25, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from sources including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional point to a daytime high of 17–19°C in Buenos Aires on August 27 under mostly cloudy skies, southeast winds of 10–15 km/h, and a 40–60% chance of showers or storms that could limit solar heating. These conditions, typical of late Southern Hemisphere winter, favor the market’s tight clustering between 18°C and 19°C implied probabilities. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing and coverage of cloud layers, which reduce surface insolation, versus any brief clearing that would allow greater daytime warming; southerly advection of cooler maritime air from the Río de la Plata; and localized evaporative cooling from precipitation. Model spread in storm track and cloud persistence sustains uncertainty between these adjacent outcomes ahead of final observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions