Official observations from Argentine meteorological stations, including those operated by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, recorded a daily minimum of 9°C in Buenos Aires on August 27, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light rain, southeast winds, and high humidity near 90%. This aligned closely with short-range forecast guidance showing overnight lows near 11–12°C that were revised downward by verified station data. Near-100% market-implied odds on 9°C reflect trader confidence in these ground-truth measurements over model projections or nearby-site variations. A realistic challenge would require documented discrepancies between primary stations, post-hoc quality-control adjustments, or resolution criteria specifying a different reference location or time window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月27日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最低溫度?
9°C 100.0%
6°C或以下 <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$3,576 交易量
$3,576 交易量
6°C或以下
否
7°C
否
8°C
否
9°C
是
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C或更高
否
9°C 100.0%
6°C或以下 <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$3,576 交易量
$3,576 交易量
6°C或以下
否
7°C
否
8°C
否
9°C
是
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official observations from Argentine meteorological stations, including those operated by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, recorded a daily minimum of 9°C in Buenos Aires on August 27, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light rain, southeast winds, and high humidity near 90%. This aligned closely with short-range forecast guidance showing overnight lows near 11–12°C that were revised downward by verified station data. Near-100% market-implied odds on 9°C reflect trader confidence in these ground-truth measurements over model projections or nearby-site variations. A realistic challenge would require documented discrepancies between primary stations, post-hoc quality-control adjustments, or resolution criteria specifying a different reference location or time window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions