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icon for 8月26日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最低溫度？

8月26日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最低溫度？

icon for 8月26日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最低溫度？

8月26日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最低溫度？

Ended: 8月 26

8月 29

8月 30

Ended: 8月 26

8月 29

8月 30

10°C 100.0%

6°C 1.0%

8°C 1.0%

4°C或以下 <1%

Polymarket

$1,354 交易量

10°C 100.0%

6°C 1.0%

8°C 1.0%

4°C或以下 <1%

Polymarket

$1,354 交易量

4°C或以下

$225 交易量

否

5°C

$67 交易量

否

6°C

$249 交易量

否

7°C

$84 交易量

否

8°C

$79 交易量

否

9°C

$51 交易量

否

10°C

$235 交易量

是

11°C

$154 交易量

否

12°C

$45 交易量

否

13°C

$72 交易量

否

14°C或更高

$92 交易量

否

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official observations from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional recorded a minimum of 10°C in Buenos Aires on August 26, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds that limited overnight cooling.** This aligns precisely with the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for 10°C, reflecting traders’ confidence in real-time weather station data amid typical late-winter conditions—mild advection preventing deeper radiational cooling that could have pushed readings lower. Historical August minima often hover near 7–9°C, but the day’s pattern kept values elevated. The outcome could face revision only if post-analysis adjusts the official station reading or if the market specifies a non-standard site, though current consensus across sources strongly supports the recorded value.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez

If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,354
結束日期
2026-08-26
市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET

結算來源

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official observations from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional recorded a minimum of 10°C in Buenos Aires on August 26, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds that limited overnight cooling.** This aligns precisely with the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for 10°C, reflecting traders’ confidence in real-time weather station data amid typical late-winter conditions—mild advection preventing deeper radiational cooling that could have pushed readings lower. Historical August minima often hover near 7–9°C, but the day’s pattern kept values elevated. The outcome could face revision only if post-analysis adjusts the official station reading or if the market specifies a non-standard site, though current consensus across sources strongly supports the recorded value.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez

If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,354
結束日期
2026-08-26
市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET

結算來源

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

相關

icon for 8月29日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最低氣溫會是2°C或以下嗎？

8月29日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最低氣溫會是2°C或以下嗎？

36%
是
icon for 布宜諾斯艾利斯在8月30日的最低氣溫會是8°C嗎？

布宜諾斯艾利斯在8月30日的最低氣溫會是8°C嗎？

39%
是
icon for Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on August 29?

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on August 29?

41%

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"8月26日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最低溫度？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "10°C" at 100%, followed by "4°C或以下" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"8月26日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最低溫度？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 24, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "8月26日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最低溫度？," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "8月26日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最低溫度？" is "10°C" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "4°C或以下" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "8月26日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最低溫度？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.