Persistent marine layer and strong onshore flow from the cool California Current, with coastal waters near 55–58°F, are the dominant controls keeping San Francisco temperatures suppressed on August 30, well below the 69.8°F climatological average high. Official National Weather Service and NOAA guidance for the SFO station cite a partly cloudy day with highs near 64–66°F under southwest winds of 10–15 mph, limiting afternoon warming despite typical sea-breeze enhancement from Central Valley heating. Trader emphasis on the 68–69°F and 70–71°F bins reflects modest uncertainty in model runs regarding stratus thinning or reduced wind speeds that could add 2–3°F locally, while stronger marine influence would favor the lower bins already priced lower. With resolution tied directly to the official SFO maximum, any late-day clearing observed in real-time data could still shift the final recorded value within the leading ranges.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於舊金山8月30日的最高溫度？
舊金山8月30日的最高溫度？
68-69°F 50%
70-71°F 38%
66-67°F 9%
72-73°F 6%
$7,939 交易量
$7,939 交易量
2026-08-30
華氏59度或以下
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
9%
68-69°F
50%
70-71°F
38%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
華氏78度或更高
<1%
68-69°F 50%
70-71°F 38%
66-67°F 9%
72-73°F 6%
$7,939 交易量
$7,939 交易量
2026-08-30
華氏59度或以下
$318 交易量
<1%
60-61°F
$340 交易量
<1%
62-63°F
$303 交易量
3%
64-65°F
$560 交易量
2%
66-67°F
$1,623 交易量
9%
68-69°F
$865 交易量
50%
70-71°F
$2,308 交易量
38%
72-73°F
$806 交易量
6%
74-75°F
$246 交易量
1%
76-77°F
$275 交易量
1%
華氏78度或更高
$296 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer and strong onshore flow from the cool California Current, with coastal waters near 55–58°F, are the dominant controls keeping San Francisco temperatures suppressed on August 30, well below the 69.8°F climatological average high. Official National Weather Service and NOAA guidance for the SFO station cite a partly cloudy day with highs near 64–66°F under southwest winds of 10–15 mph, limiting afternoon warming despite typical sea-breeze enhancement from Central Valley heating. Trader emphasis on the 68–69°F and 70–71°F bins reflects modest uncertainty in model runs regarding stratus thinning or reduced wind speeds that could add 2–3°F locally, while stronger marine influence would favor the lower bins already priced lower. With resolution tied directly to the official SFO maximum, any late-day clearing observed in real-time data could still shift the final recorded value within the leading ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 28, 2026, 10:57 AM ET
交易量
$7,939結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 10:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer and strong onshore flow from the cool California Current, with coastal waters near 55–58°F, are the dominant controls keeping San Francisco temperatures suppressed on August 30, well below the 69.8°F climatological average high. Official National Weather Service and NOAA guidance for the SFO station cite a partly cloudy day with highs near 64–66°F under southwest winds of 10–15 mph, limiting afternoon warming despite typical sea-breeze enhancement from Central Valley heating. Trader emphasis on the 68–69°F and 70–71°F bins reflects modest uncertainty in model runs regarding stratus thinning or reduced wind speeds that could add 2–3°F locally, while stronger marine influence would favor the lower bins already priced lower. With resolution tied directly to the official SFO maximum, any late-day clearing observed in real-time data could still shift the final recorded value within the leading ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,939結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 10:57 AM ETPersistent marine layer and strong onshore flow from the cool California Current, with coastal waters near 55–58°F, are the dominant controls keeping San Francisco temperatures suppressed on August 30, well below the 69.8°F climatological average high. Official National Weather Service and NOAA guidance for the SFO station cite a partly cloudy day with highs near 64–66°F under southwest winds of 10–15 mph, limiting afternoon warming despite typical sea-breeze enhancement from Central Valley heating. Trader emphasis on the 68–69°F and 70–71°F bins reflects modest uncertainty in model runs regarding stratus thinning or reduced wind speeds that could add 2–3°F locally, while stronger marine influence would favor the lower bins already priced lower. With resolution tied directly to the official SFO maximum, any late-day clearing observed in real-time data could still shift the final recorded value within the leading ranges.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions