The close split between 56-57°F (55%) and 54-55°F (46%) on the lowest temperature market for San Francisco on August 30, 2026, reflects trader focus on subtle variations in nocturnal cooling under a persistent marine layer. Official NWS observations at SFO recorded a minimum of 58°F amid haze, partly cloudy skies, and southwest winds of 5-15 mph that limited radiational cooling while the cool California Current and coastal upwelling maintained adjacent sea-surface temperatures near 55-58°F. Model consensus and historical August normals around 56°F created uncertainty over whether enhanced mixing or slight clear-sky windows would push the overnight low one or two degrees lower, with upcoming NWS climatological revisions serving as the key resolution trigger.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於舊金山8月30日的最低溫度？
舊金山8月30日的最低溫度？
52-53°F 9%
50-51°F 7%
48-49°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$1,493 交易量
$1,493 交易量
2026-08-30
47°F或以下
否
48-49°F
否
50-51°F
否
52-53°F
否
54-55°F
否
56-57°F
是
58-59°F
否
60-61°F
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
否
66°F或以上
否
52-53°F 9%
50-51°F 7%
48-49°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$1,493 交易量
$1,493 交易量
2026-08-30
47°F或以下
$284 交易量
否
48-49°F
$45 交易量
否
50-51°F
$76 交易量
否
52-53°F
$39 交易量
否
54-55°F
$115 交易量
否
56-57°F
$38 交易量
是
58-59°F
$267 交易量
否
60-61°F
$285 交易量
否
62-63°F
$117 交易量
否
64-65°F
$172 交易量
否
66°F或以上
$55 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The close split between 56-57°F (55%) and 54-55°F (46%) on the lowest temperature market for San Francisco on August 30, 2026, reflects trader focus on subtle variations in nocturnal cooling under a persistent marine layer. Official NWS observations at SFO recorded a minimum of 58°F amid haze, partly cloudy skies, and southwest winds of 5-15 mph that limited radiational cooling while the cool California Current and coastal upwelling maintained adjacent sea-surface temperatures near 55-58°F. Model consensus and historical August normals around 56°F created uncertainty over whether enhanced mixing or slight clear-sky windows would push the overnight low one or two degrees lower, with upcoming NWS climatological revisions serving as the key resolution trigger.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,493結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The close split between 56-57°F (55%) and 54-55°F (46%) on the lowest temperature market for San Francisco on August 30, 2026, reflects trader focus on subtle variations in nocturnal cooling under a persistent marine layer. Official NWS observations at SFO recorded a minimum of 58°F amid haze, partly cloudy skies, and southwest winds of 5-15 mph that limited radiational cooling while the cool California Current and coastal upwelling maintained adjacent sea-surface temperatures near 55-58°F. Model consensus and historical August normals around 56°F created uncertainty over whether enhanced mixing or slight clear-sky windows would push the overnight low one or two degrees lower, with upcoming NWS climatological revisions serving as the key resolution trigger.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,493結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The close split between 56-57°F (55%) and 54-55°F (46%) on the lowest temperature market for San Francisco on August 30, 2026, reflects trader focus on subtle variations in nocturnal cooling under a persistent marine layer. Official NWS observations at SFO recorded a minimum of 58°F amid haze, partly cloudy skies, and southwest winds of 5-15 mph that limited radiational cooling while the cool California Current and coastal upwelling maintained adjacent sea-surface temperatures near 55-58°F. Model consensus and historical August normals around 56°F created uncertainty over whether enhanced mixing or slight clear-sky windows would push the overnight low one or two degrees lower, with upcoming NWS climatological revisions serving as the key resolution trigger.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions