Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport recorded a minimum of 56°F on September 15, 2026, aligning precisely with the seasonal normal of 56°F and driving the near-certain market outcome. Mild marine layer conditions, light westerly winds, and typical late-summer fog patterns maintained temperatures near average without significant cold-air advection or radiative cooling extremes that could have pushed readings into the mid-50s or lower. Historical data show this range as common for the date, with traders incorporating verified station reports and model consensus on stable overnight conditions. Resolution hinges on the primary airport reading, though minor station-to-station differences or post-event quality control revisions remain theoretically possible but unlikely to alter the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於舊金山9月15日的最低溫度？
舊金山9月15日的最低溫度？
56-57華氏度 99.5%
49°F或以下 1.0%
52-53°F 1.0%
50-51°F <1%
$1,830 交易量
$1,830 交易量
2026-09-15
49°F或以下
否
50-51°F
否
52-53°F
否
54-55°F
否
56-57華氏度
是
58-59°F
否
60-61華氏度
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
否
68°F或以上
否
56-57華氏度 99.5%
49°F或以下 1.0%
52-53°F 1.0%
50-51°F <1%
$1,830 交易量
$1,830 交易量
2026-09-15
49°F或以下
$16 交易量
否
50-51°F
$76 交易量
否
52-53°F
$86 交易量
否
54-55°F
$86 交易量
否
56-57華氏度
$20 交易量
是
58-59°F
$901 交易量
否
60-61華氏度
$569 交易量
否
62-63°F
$0 交易量
否
64-65°F
$0 交易量
否
66-67°F
$76 交易量
否
68°F或以上
$0 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport recorded a minimum of 56°F on September 15, 2026, aligning precisely with the seasonal normal of 56°F and driving the near-certain market outcome. Mild marine layer conditions, light westerly winds, and typical late-summer fog patterns maintained temperatures near average without significant cold-air advection or radiative cooling extremes that could have pushed readings into the mid-50s or lower. Historical data show this range as common for the date, with traders incorporating verified station reports and model consensus on stable overnight conditions. Resolution hinges on the primary airport reading, though minor station-to-station differences or post-event quality control revisions remain theoretically possible but unlikely to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
交易量
$1,830結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport recorded a minimum of 56°F on September 15, 2026, aligning precisely with the seasonal normal of 56°F and driving the near-certain market outcome. Mild marine layer conditions, light westerly winds, and typical late-summer fog patterns maintained temperatures near average without significant cold-air advection or radiative cooling extremes that could have pushed readings into the mid-50s or lower. Historical data show this range as common for the date, with traders incorporating verified station reports and model consensus on stable overnight conditions. Resolution hinges on the primary airport reading, though minor station-to-station differences or post-event quality control revisions remain theoretically possible but unlikely to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,830結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport recorded a minimum of 56°F on September 15, 2026, aligning precisely with the seasonal normal of 56°F and driving the near-certain market outcome. Mild marine layer conditions, light westerly winds, and typical late-summer fog patterns maintained temperatures near average without significant cold-air advection or radiative cooling extremes that could have pushed readings into the mid-50s or lower. Historical data show this range as common for the date, with traders incorporating verified station reports and model consensus on stable overnight conditions. Resolution hinges on the primary airport reading, though minor station-to-station differences or post-event quality control revisions remain theoretically possible but unlikely to alter the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions