Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus project a sunny August 30 high near 99–100°F for Austin under persistent upper-level high pressure, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This places the most probable outcomes squarely in the 98–101°F range, matching the market’s leading shares at 48.5% and 32.0%. Late-summer climatology supports these values, with August normals near 95°F and recent days already producing similar readings amid an ongoing heat pattern. Minor forecast spread arises from potential subtle steering or boundary-layer moisture variations, but no major model divergence or incoming fronts appear likely to shift the peak outside the 96–103°F window before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
8月30日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
98-99°F 49%
100-101°F 32%
96-97°F 14%
102-103°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
89°F或以下
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
14%
98-99°F
49%
100-101°F
32%
102-103°F
6%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
<1%
攝氏108度或更高
<1%
98-99°F 49%
100-101°F 32%
96-97°F 14%
102-103°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
89°F或以下
$250 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$198 交易量
1%
92-93°F
$15 交易量
1%
94-95°F
$10 交易量
4%
96-97°F
$312 交易量
14%
98-99°F
$3,002 交易量
49%
100-101°F
$238 交易量
32%
102-103°F
$53 交易量
6%
104-105°F
$79 交易量
2%
106-107°F
$41 交易量
<1%
攝氏108度或更高
$57 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus project a sunny August 30 high near 99–100°F for Austin under persistent upper-level high pressure, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This places the most probable outcomes squarely in the 98–101°F range, matching the market’s leading shares at 48.5% and 32.0%. Late-summer climatology supports these values, with August normals near 95°F and recent days already producing similar readings amid an ongoing heat pattern. Minor forecast spread arises from potential subtle steering or boundary-layer moisture variations, but no major model divergence or incoming fronts appear likely to shift the peak outside the 96–103°F window before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
交易量
$4,255結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus project a sunny August 30 high near 99–100°F for Austin under persistent upper-level high pressure, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This places the most probable outcomes squarely in the 98–101°F range, matching the market’s leading shares at 48.5% and 32.0%. Late-summer climatology supports these values, with August normals near 95°F and recent days already producing similar readings amid an ongoing heat pattern. Minor forecast spread arises from potential subtle steering or boundary-layer moisture variations, but no major model divergence or incoming fronts appear likely to shift the peak outside the 96–103°F window before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,255結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETRecent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus project a sunny August 30 high near 99–100°F for Austin under persistent upper-level high pressure, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This places the most probable outcomes squarely in the 98–101°F range, matching the market’s leading shares at 48.5% and 32.0%. Late-summer climatology supports these values, with August normals near 95°F and recent days already producing similar readings amid an ongoing heat pattern. Minor forecast spread arises from potential subtle steering or boundary-layer moisture variations, but no major model divergence or incoming fronts appear likely to shift the peak outside the 96–103°F window before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions