Recent National Weather Service and private forecast models project a sunny, hot day in Austin with light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover, supporting a peak temperature in the upper 90s. Official guidance centers near 100°F with heat indices exceeding 104°F amid typical late-August humidity, while climatological averages for the date sit around 95°F. Morning observations near 70–75°F and steady building under clear skies have reinforced trader confidence in the 98–99°F bin as the most probable outcome, with modest positioning in 100–101°F reflecting residual uncertainty in afternoon model runs and minor steering variations. No significant frontal activity or moisture influx appears likely to alter the trajectory before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
8月29日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
98-99°F 67%
100-101°F 19%
96-97°F 15%
94-95°F 3%
$10,260 交易量
$10,260 交易量
2026-08-29
89°F或以下
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
15%
98-99°F
67%
100-101°F
19%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F或更高
<1%
98-99°F 67%
100-101°F 19%
96-97°F 15%
94-95°F 3%
$10,260 交易量
$10,260 交易量
2026-08-29
89°F或以下
$270 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$235 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$354 交易量
<1%
94-95°F
$553 交易量
3%
96-97°F
$1,753 交易量
15%
98-99°F
$3,634 交易量
67%
100-101°F
$2,269 交易量
19%
102-103°F
$493 交易量
2%
104-105°F
$312 交易量
<1%
106-107°F
$120 交易量
<1%
108°F或更高
$267 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private forecast models project a sunny, hot day in Austin with light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover, supporting a peak temperature in the upper 90s. Official guidance centers near 100°F with heat indices exceeding 104°F amid typical late-August humidity, while climatological averages for the date sit around 95°F. Morning observations near 70–75°F and steady building under clear skies have reinforced trader confidence in the 98–99°F bin as the most probable outcome, with modest positioning in 100–101°F reflecting residual uncertainty in afternoon model runs and minor steering variations. No significant frontal activity or moisture influx appears likely to alter the trajectory before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
交易量
$10,260結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private forecast models project a sunny, hot day in Austin with light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover, supporting a peak temperature in the upper 90s. Official guidance centers near 100°F with heat indices exceeding 104°F amid typical late-August humidity, while climatological averages for the date sit around 95°F. Morning observations near 70–75°F and steady building under clear skies have reinforced trader confidence in the 98–99°F bin as the most probable outcome, with modest positioning in 100–101°F reflecting residual uncertainty in afternoon model runs and minor steering variations. No significant frontal activity or moisture influx appears likely to alter the trajectory before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,260結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and private forecast models project a sunny, hot day in Austin with light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover, supporting a peak temperature in the upper 90s. Official guidance centers near 100°F with heat indices exceeding 104°F amid typical late-August humidity, while climatological averages for the date sit around 95°F. Morning observations near 70–75°F and steady building under clear skies have reinforced trader confidence in the 98–99°F bin as the most probable outcome, with modest positioning in 100–101°F reflecting residual uncertainty in afternoon model runs and minor steering variations. No significant frontal activity or moisture influx appears likely to alter the trajectory before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions