Official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin indicate a clear, calm night with light southerly winds and dew points near 70°F, supporting radiative cooling from daytime highs around 100°F but limiting the overnight low to the mid-70s. This aligns with recent model consensus showing minimal additional drop due to elevated humidity and urban heat retention. Trader positioning on 70-71°F as the dominant outcome at 83% implied probability reflects assessment of potential localized cooling at official stations or slight forecast revisions, while lower bins capture tail risks from stronger advection or measurement variance. Upcoming evening observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日是奧斯汀的最低溫度？
8月29日是奧斯汀的最低溫度？
70-71°F 83%
67°F or below 2%
68-69°F 2%
72-73°F <1%
$3,497 交易量
$3,497 交易量
2026-08-29
67°F or below
2%
68-69°F
22%
70-71°F
83%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F或更高
<1%
70-71°F 83%
67°F or below 2%
68-69°F 2%
72-73°F <1%
$3,497 交易量
$3,497 交易量
2026-08-29
67°F or below
$106 交易量
2%
68-69°F
$60 交易量
22%
70-71°F
$96 交易量
83%
72-73°F
$529 交易量
1%
74-75°F
$291 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$84 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$60 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$112 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$1,745 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$297 交易量
<1%
86°F或更高
$117 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin indicate a clear, calm night with light southerly winds and dew points near 70°F, supporting radiative cooling from daytime highs around 100°F but limiting the overnight low to the mid-70s. This aligns with recent model consensus showing minimal additional drop due to elevated humidity and urban heat retention. Trader positioning on 70-71°F as the dominant outcome at 83% implied probability reflects assessment of potential localized cooling at official stations or slight forecast revisions, while lower bins capture tail risks from stronger advection or measurement variance. Upcoming evening observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
交易量
$3,497結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin indicate a clear, calm night with light southerly winds and dew points near 70°F, supporting radiative cooling from daytime highs around 100°F but limiting the overnight low to the mid-70s. This aligns with recent model consensus showing minimal additional drop due to elevated humidity and urban heat retention. Trader positioning on 70-71°F as the dominant outcome at 83% implied probability reflects assessment of potential localized cooling at official stations or slight forecast revisions, while lower bins capture tail risks from stronger advection or measurement variance. Upcoming evening observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,497結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETOfficial National Weather Service forecasts for Austin indicate a clear, calm night with light southerly winds and dew points near 70°F, supporting radiative cooling from daytime highs around 100°F but limiting the overnight low to the mid-70s. This aligns with recent model consensus showing minimal additional drop due to elevated humidity and urban heat retention. Trader positioning on 70-71°F as the dominant outcome at 83% implied probability reflects assessment of potential localized cooling at official stations or slight forecast revisions, while lower bins capture tail risks from stronger advection or measurement variance. Upcoming evening observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions