Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources indicate a low in the mid-70s for Austin on August 30 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly winds that limit overnight radiational cooling. This consensus underpins the leading 74-75°F market bin. Minor spreads across guidance—some runs showing 72°F versus others near 76°F—along with typical measurement differences at official stations versus urban heat islands sustain interest in the 67°F-or-below outcome. Historical August 30 lows average near 72°F with rare excursions below 68°F, keeping the market tightly balanced ahead of final overnight observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日奧斯汀最低溫度?
67華氏度或以下 78%
74-75°F 36%
72-73°F 29%
68-69°F 26%
67華氏度或以下
78%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
29%
74-75°F
36%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
12%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
7%
86°F或以上
2%
67華氏度或以下 78%
74-75°F 36%
72-73°F 29%
68-69°F 26%
67華氏度或以下
78%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
29%
74-75°F
36%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
12%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
7%
86°F或以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources indicate a low in the mid-70s for Austin on August 30 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly winds that limit overnight radiational cooling. This consensus underpins the leading 74-75°F market bin. Minor spreads across guidance—some runs showing 72°F versus others near 76°F—along with typical measurement differences at official stations versus urban heat islands sustain interest in the 67°F-or-below outcome. Historical August 30 lows average near 72°F with rare excursions below 68°F, keeping the market tightly balanced ahead of final overnight observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions