Persistent monsoon trough and scattered thunderstorms are capping daytime maxima in Guangzhou ahead of August 31, with official guidance pointing to 30–31 °C highs amid mostly cloudy skies, high humidity near 80 %, and northerly winds. Recent model runs show limited diurnal heating due to frequent convection and evaporative cooling, while lingering effects from weakening Tropical Depression Saudel add moisture and cloud cover. These conditions create tight clustering around 31–33 °C, with upside risk to 34 °C if breaks in cloud allow stronger insolation and downside to 30 °C if heavier rain arrives earlier. Urban heat-island effects and precise timing of showers remain the key variables separating the closely matched market outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日廣州最高溫度?
33°C 29%
32°C 23%
31°C 17%
34°C 13%
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
17%
32°C
23%
33°C
29%
34°C
13%
35°C
8%
36°C或以上
1%
33°C 29%
32°C 23%
31°C 17%
34°C 13%
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
17%
32°C
23%
33°C
29%
34°C
13%
35°C
8%
36°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent monsoon trough and scattered thunderstorms are capping daytime maxima in Guangzhou ahead of August 31, with official guidance pointing to 30–31 °C highs amid mostly cloudy skies, high humidity near 80 %, and northerly winds. Recent model runs show limited diurnal heating due to frequent convection and evaporative cooling, while lingering effects from weakening Tropical Depression Saudel add moisture and cloud cover. These conditions create tight clustering around 31–33 °C, with upside risk to 34 °C if breaks in cloud allow stronger insolation and downside to 30 °C if heavier rain arrives earlier. Urban heat-island effects and precise timing of showers remain the key variables separating the closely matched market outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions