Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models indicate a highest temperature in Karachi on August 31 most likely between 30–31°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate southwesterly winds and high humidity typical of late monsoon conditions. This narrow range drives the closely matched market-implied odds, as modest variations in cloud cover, wind speed, or afternoon convection can shift the daily maximum by 1°C at official stations. Historical August highs average near 31–32°C, but recent observations show slightly suppressed peaks from persistent moisture and limited solar heating. Updated model runs and PMD briefings in the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing, key variables that determine whether the peak reaches the higher or lower end of this band.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日卡拉奇的最高溫度?
31°C 43%
30°C 31%
29°C 24%
33°C 16%
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
9%
29°C
24%
30°C
31%
31°C
43%
32°C
14%
33°C
16%
34°C
15%
35°C
<1%
36°C或更高
<1%
31°C 43%
30°C 31%
29°C 24%
33°C 16%
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
9%
29°C
24%
30°C
31%
31°C
43%
32°C
14%
33°C
16%
34°C
15%
35°C
<1%
36°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models indicate a highest temperature in Karachi on August 31 most likely between 30–31°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate southwesterly winds and high humidity typical of late monsoon conditions. This narrow range drives the closely matched market-implied odds, as modest variations in cloud cover, wind speed, or afternoon convection can shift the daily maximum by 1°C at official stations. Historical August highs average near 31–32°C, but recent observations show slightly suppressed peaks from persistent moisture and limited solar heating. Updated model runs and PMD briefings in the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing, key variables that determine whether the peak reaches the higher or lower end of this band.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions