Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature in Karachi on August 31 near 25–26°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. Persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover, elevated humidity near 85–90%, and steady southwest winds of 15–25 km/h limit radiative cooling overnight, consistent with observed lows of 26–26.5°C in late August. These conditions match typical late-summer patterns where nocturnal temperatures rarely drop below the mid-20s. Traders appear to weigh the narrow range of model guidance against minor uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing, keeping 25–27°C outcomes dominant while assigning low probability to extremes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日卡拉奇的最低溫度？
8月31日卡拉奇的最低溫度？
24°C 49%
26°C 39%
27°C 27%
25°C 26%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
21°C or below
2%
22°C
10%
23°C
23%
24°C
49%
25°C
26%
26°C
39%
27°C
27%
28°C
25%
29°C
21%
30°C
6%
31°C or higher
12%
24°C 49%
26°C 39%
27°C 27%
25°C 26%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
21°C or below
$130 交易量
2%
22°C
$130 交易量
10%
23°C
$0 交易量
23%
24°C
$0 交易量
49%
25°C
$0 交易量
26%
26°C
$0 交易量
39%
27°C
$0 交易量
27%
28°C
$0 交易量
25%
29°C
$0 交易量
21%
30°C
$0 交易量
6%
31°C or higher
$130 交易量
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature in Karachi on August 31 near 25–26°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. Persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover, elevated humidity near 85–90%, and steady southwest winds of 15–25 km/h limit radiative cooling overnight, consistent with observed lows of 26–26.5°C in late August. These conditions match typical late-summer patterns where nocturnal temperatures rarely drop below the mid-20s. Traders appear to weigh the narrow range of model guidance against minor uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing, keeping 25–27°C outcomes dominant while assigning low probability to extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$390結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature in Karachi on August 31 near 25–26°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. Persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover, elevated humidity near 85–90%, and steady southwest winds of 15–25 km/h limit radiative cooling overnight, consistent with observed lows of 26–26.5°C in late August. These conditions match typical late-summer patterns where nocturnal temperatures rarely drop below the mid-20s. Traders appear to weigh the narrow range of model guidance against minor uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing, keeping 25–27°C outcomes dominant while assigning low probability to extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$390結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature in Karachi on August 31 near 25–26°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. Persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover, elevated humidity near 85–90%, and steady southwest winds of 15–25 km/h limit radiative cooling overnight, consistent with observed lows of 26–26.5°C in late August. These conditions match typical late-summer patterns where nocturnal temperatures rarely drop below the mid-20s. Traders appear to weigh the narrow range of model guidance against minor uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing, keeping 25–27°C outcomes dominant while assigning low probability to extremes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions