Recent forecasts for Beijing on August 31 point to a peak temperature near 29–31°C under mostly sunny skies with light northeasterly winds and low humidity around 40–50%. Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies promote strong daytime solar heating, while northerly flow limits warm advection from southern regions. Historical late-August averages near 29–30°C provide context, with minor forecast spreads arising from small differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind timing, and model handling of urban heat effects. These factors keep probabilities tightly clustered around the leading outcomes, reflecting typical short-range uncertainty in peak diurnal temperatures.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日北京最高溫度?
30°C 29%
29°C 25%
31°C 25%
28°C 11%
25°C or below
4%
26°C
2%
27°C
6%
28°C
11%
29°C
25%
30°C
29%
31°C
25%
32°C
4%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 29%
29°C 25%
31°C 25%
28°C 11%
25°C or below
4%
26°C
2%
27°C
6%
28°C
11%
29°C
25%
30°C
29%
31°C
25%
32°C
4%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Beijing on August 31 point to a peak temperature near 29–31°C under mostly sunny skies with light northeasterly winds and low humidity around 40–50%. Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies promote strong daytime solar heating, while northerly flow limits warm advection from southern regions. Historical late-August averages near 29–30°C provide context, with minor forecast spreads arising from small differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind timing, and model handling of urban heat effects. These factors keep probabilities tightly clustered around the leading outcomes, reflecting typical short-range uncertainty in peak diurnal temperatures.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions