**Recent heavy rainfall from August 28–29, driven by eastern airflow combined with northern cold air, temporarily suppressed temperatures across Chongqing, with center-city highs falling to 29–31°C amid widespread rain and localized downpours.** This cleared the way for a rebound under building high pressure, with models and the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau now projecting mostly sunny to cloudy conditions and only isolated showers for August 31. Official outlooks converge on a daytime high near 34°C in the urban core (range 25–34°C), while broader regional guidance and international models (including WeatherBug and Yr) cluster between 34–35°C (roughly 93–95°F), reflecting typical late-August climatology tempered by residual moisture and light winds. Historical August peaks often exceed 36–38°C during dry spells, yet the recent frontal passage and seasonal transition limit extreme rebound potential. These factors explain the market’s tight clustering around 34–35°C as leading outcomes, with modest probability mass on 36°C if clearing accelerates more than expected. Final model updates and real-time observations on the 31st remain the key near-term variables.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日重慶氣溫最高?
35°C 45%
34°C 25%
36°C 17%
33°C 11%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
5%
32°C
3%
33°C
11%
34°C
25%
35°C
45%
36°C
17%
37°C
7%
38°C
3%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 45%
34°C 25%
36°C 17%
33°C 11%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
5%
32°C
3%
33°C
11%
34°C
25%
35°C
45%
36°C
17%
37°C
7%
38°C
3%
39°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Recent heavy rainfall from August 28–29, driven by eastern airflow combined with northern cold air, temporarily suppressed temperatures across Chongqing, with center-city highs falling to 29–31°C amid widespread rain and localized downpours.** This cleared the way for a rebound under building high pressure, with models and the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau now projecting mostly sunny to cloudy conditions and only isolated showers for August 31. Official outlooks converge on a daytime high near 34°C in the urban core (range 25–34°C), while broader regional guidance and international models (including WeatherBug and Yr) cluster between 34–35°C (roughly 93–95°F), reflecting typical late-August climatology tempered by residual moisture and light winds. Historical August peaks often exceed 36–38°C during dry spells, yet the recent frontal passage and seasonal transition limit extreme rebound potential. These factors explain the market’s tight clustering around 34–35°C as leading outcomes, with modest probability mass on 36°C if clearing accelerates more than expected. Final model updates and real-time observations on the 31st remain the key near-term variables.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions