The National Weather Service climatological report for San Francisco International Airport recorded a maximum temperature of 65°F on August 28, 2026, at 2:09 PM local time under overcast skies with light rain, fog, and haze. This official observation from the primary reporting station aligns precisely with the 64-65°F outcome, which commands 94.8% market-implied probability. Persistent marine layer influence and westerly winds near 15 mph kept values well below the 74°F seasonal normal, consistent with cool, stable conditions observed across METAR data throughout the day. Realistic challenges to resolution remain limited to any post-event data revision or alternative station weighting, though historical patterns indicate such adjustments are rare for this threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於舊金山8月28日的最高溫度?
64-65°F 100.0%
57°F或以下 <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$40,508 交易量
$40,508 交易量
57°F或以下
否
58-59°F
否
60-61°F
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
是
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76°F或以上
否
64-65°F 100.0%
57°F或以下 <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$40,508 交易量
$40,508 交易量
57°F或以下
否
58-59°F
否
60-61°F
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
是
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76°F或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The National Weather Service climatological report for San Francisco International Airport recorded a maximum temperature of 65°F on August 28, 2026, at 2:09 PM local time under overcast skies with light rain, fog, and haze. This official observation from the primary reporting station aligns precisely with the 64-65°F outcome, which commands 94.8% market-implied probability. Persistent marine layer influence and westerly winds near 15 mph kept values well below the 74°F seasonal normal, consistent with cool, stable conditions observed across METAR data throughout the day. Realistic challenges to resolution remain limited to any post-event data revision or alternative station weighting, though historical patterns indicate such adjustments are rare for this threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions