Recent numerical weather model consensus points to partly cloudy skies and light northeast winds over Chengdu on August 31, favoring maximum temperatures in the mid-30s Celsius under a subtropical ridge with limited moisture advection. Ensemble spreads and local factors such as urban heat retention and exact timing of any afternoon cloud build-up create tight differentiation between 35 °C and 36 °C outcomes, while cooler scenarios hinge on stronger mixing or residual moisture from prior days. Official agency guidance through the period shows limited day-to-day shifts, keeping trader focus on the next model cycles before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日成都最高溫度？
8月31日成都最高溫度？
35°C 37%
36°C 25%
34°C 12%
33°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
29°C or below
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
10%
34°C
20%
35°C
25%
36°C
25%
37°C
10%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 37%
36°C 25%
34°C 12%
33°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
29°C or below
$0 交易量
4%
30°C
$120 交易量
4%
31°C
$0 交易量
2%
32°C
$1 交易量
3%
33°C
$2 交易量
10%
34°C
$31 交易量
20%
35°C
$58 交易量
25%
36°C
$35 交易量
25%
37°C
$128 交易量
10%
38°C
$0 交易量
1%
39°C or higher
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus points to partly cloudy skies and light northeast winds over Chengdu on August 31, favoring maximum temperatures in the mid-30s Celsius under a subtropical ridge with limited moisture advection. Ensemble spreads and local factors such as urban heat retention and exact timing of any afternoon cloud build-up create tight differentiation between 35 °C and 36 °C outcomes, while cooler scenarios hinge on stronger mixing or residual moisture from prior days. Official agency guidance through the period shows limited day-to-day shifts, keeping trader focus on the next model cycles before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$374結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus points to partly cloudy skies and light northeast winds over Chengdu on August 31, favoring maximum temperatures in the mid-30s Celsius under a subtropical ridge with limited moisture advection. Ensemble spreads and local factors such as urban heat retention and exact timing of any afternoon cloud build-up create tight differentiation between 35 °C and 36 °C outcomes, while cooler scenarios hinge on stronger mixing or residual moisture from prior days. Official agency guidance through the period shows limited day-to-day shifts, keeping trader focus on the next model cycles before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$374結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent numerical weather model consensus points to partly cloudy skies and light northeast winds over Chengdu on August 31, favoring maximum temperatures in the mid-30s Celsius under a subtropical ridge with limited moisture advection. Ensemble spreads and local factors such as urban heat retention and exact timing of any afternoon cloud build-up create tight differentiation between 35 °C and 36 °C outcomes, while cooler scenarios hinge on stronger mixing or residual moisture from prior days. Official agency guidance through the period shows limited day-to-day shifts, keeping trader focus on the next model cycles before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions