Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Austin peg the August 28 high near 100°F under mostly sunny skies with only a 20% chance of afternoon thunderstorms, aligning with the tight market split between 100-101°F and 98-99°F bins. Southerly flow, abundant Gulf moisture, and subsidence under high pressure support intense daytime heating, while limited cloud cover and light winds allow the boundary layer to mix efficiently. Minor model differences in storm timing or residual morning clouds create the narrow gap between those leading outcomes; any earlier or more widespread convection could cap readings in the upper 90s, whereas clearer conditions would favor the low 100s. Official observations from Austin-Bergstrom will resolve the market once the daily maximum is confirmed.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月28日奧斯汀的最高溫度?
100-101°F 42%
98-99°F 42%
96-97°F 9%
102-103°F 7%
$18,880 交易量
$18,880 交易量
華氏91度或以下
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
9%
98-99°F
42%
100-101°F
42%
102-103°F
7%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
華氏110度或更高
<1%
100-101°F 42%
98-99°F 42%
96-97°F 9%
102-103°F 7%
$18,880 交易量
$18,880 交易量
華氏91度或以下
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
9%
98-99°F
42%
100-101°F
42%
102-103°F
7%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
華氏110度或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Austin peg the August 28 high near 100°F under mostly sunny skies with only a 20% chance of afternoon thunderstorms, aligning with the tight market split between 100-101°F and 98-99°F bins. Southerly flow, abundant Gulf moisture, and subsidence under high pressure support intense daytime heating, while limited cloud cover and light winds allow the boundary layer to mix efficiently. Minor model differences in storm timing or residual morning clouds create the narrow gap between those leading outcomes; any earlier or more widespread convection could cap readings in the upper 90s, whereas clearer conditions would favor the low 100s. Official observations from Austin-Bergstrom will resolve the market once the daily maximum is confirmed.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions