Persistent subtropical high pressure has sustained clear to partly cloudy conditions across Chongqing through August 28 daytime, allowing surface heating to push afternoon temperatures to 37°C or higher at the Jiangbei International Airport station used for market resolution. Official Chongqing Meteorological Bureau analyses and numerical weather prediction outputs align with surface observations showing multiple districts exceeding 37°C earlier in the heatwave, consistent with climatological August maxima near 35–38°C under similar synoptic patterns. The 100% market-implied probability reflects this verified consensus ahead of evening convective rain. An earlier onset of showers or stronger localized cooling could still cap the official daily maximum below the threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月28日重慶氣溫最高？
8月28日重慶氣溫最高？
37°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$41,199 交易量
$41,199 交易量
2026-08-28
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
Yes
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
37°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$41,199 交易量
$41,199 交易量
2026-08-28
30°C or below
$1,924 交易量
No
31°C
$653 交易量
No
32°C
$1,405 交易量
No
33°C
$2,747 交易量
No
34°C
$2,983 交易量
No
35°C
$6,247 交易量
No
36°C
$8,155 交易量
No
37°C
$6,545 交易量
Yes
38°C
$6,352 交易量
No
39°C
$3,434 交易量
No
40°C or higher
$754 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent subtropical high pressure has sustained clear to partly cloudy conditions across Chongqing through August 28 daytime, allowing surface heating to push afternoon temperatures to 37°C or higher at the Jiangbei International Airport station used for market resolution. Official Chongqing Meteorological Bureau analyses and numerical weather prediction outputs align with surface observations showing multiple districts exceeding 37°C earlier in the heatwave, consistent with climatological August maxima near 35–38°C under similar synoptic patterns. The 100% market-implied probability reflects this verified consensus ahead of evening convective rain. An earlier onset of showers or stronger localized cooling could still cap the official daily maximum below the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$41,199結束日期
2026-08-28市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent subtropical high pressure has sustained clear to partly cloudy conditions across Chongqing through August 28 daytime, allowing surface heating to push afternoon temperatures to 37°C or higher at the Jiangbei International Airport station used for market resolution. Official Chongqing Meteorological Bureau analyses and numerical weather prediction outputs align with surface observations showing multiple districts exceeding 37°C earlier in the heatwave, consistent with climatological August maxima near 35–38°C under similar synoptic patterns. The 100% market-implied probability reflects this verified consensus ahead of evening convective rain. An earlier onset of showers or stronger localized cooling could still cap the official daily maximum below the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$41,199結束日期
2026-08-28市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Persistent subtropical high pressure has sustained clear to partly cloudy conditions across Chongqing through August 28 daytime, allowing surface heating to push afternoon temperatures to 37°C or higher at the Jiangbei International Airport station used for market resolution. Official Chongqing Meteorological Bureau analyses and numerical weather prediction outputs align with surface observations showing multiple districts exceeding 37°C earlier in the heatwave, consistent with climatological August maxima near 35–38°C under similar synoptic patterns. The 100% market-implied probability reflects this verified consensus ahead of evening convective rain. An earlier onset of showers or stronger localized cooling could still cap the official daily maximum below the threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions