Forecast consensus from multiple models indicates a mild winter day in Buenos Aires on August 30, with daytime highs most likely reaching 20–21°C under easterly to northeasterly flow and limited cloud cover. Light winds and stable high pressure support gradual warming from overnight lows near 10–12°C without strong advection of cooler air or significant mixing. Recent model runs show consistency on these conditions through the 24-hour period, with minimal expected variability from sea-breeze effects or frontal passages. This scientific setup aligns with trader emphasis on the 21°C outcome at 52.5% implied probability, as historical August maxima and current steering patterns favor this narrow range over extremes. Updated NHC-equivalent regional guidance and next model cycles will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度？
8月30日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度？
21°C 53%
20°C 23%
22°C 14%
19°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
7%
20°C
23%
21°C
53%
22°C
14%
23°C或更高
3%
21°C 53%
20°C 23%
22°C 14%
19°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
13°C或以下
$248 交易量
<1%
14°C
$238 交易量
<1%
15°C
$238 交易量
<1%
16°C
$236 交易量
1%
17°C
$150 交易量
1%
18°C
$214 交易量
2%
19°C
$440 交易量
7%
20°C
$714 交易量
23%
21°C
$1,960 交易量
53%
22°C
$1,256 交易量
14%
23°C或更高
$959 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models indicates a mild winter day in Buenos Aires on August 30, with daytime highs most likely reaching 20–21°C under easterly to northeasterly flow and limited cloud cover. Light winds and stable high pressure support gradual warming from overnight lows near 10–12°C without strong advection of cooler air or significant mixing. Recent model runs show consistency on these conditions through the 24-hour period, with minimal expected variability from sea-breeze effects or frontal passages. This scientific setup aligns with trader emphasis on the 21°C outcome at 52.5% implied probability, as historical August maxima and current steering patterns favor this narrow range over extremes. Updated NHC-equivalent regional guidance and next model cycles will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ET
交易量
$6,652結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models indicates a mild winter day in Buenos Aires on August 30, with daytime highs most likely reaching 20–21°C under easterly to northeasterly flow and limited cloud cover. Light winds and stable high pressure support gradual warming from overnight lows near 10–12°C without strong advection of cooler air or significant mixing. Recent model runs show consistency on these conditions through the 24-hour period, with minimal expected variability from sea-breeze effects or frontal passages. This scientific setup aligns with trader emphasis on the 21°C outcome at 52.5% implied probability, as historical August maxima and current steering patterns favor this narrow range over extremes. Updated NHC-equivalent regional guidance and next model cycles will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,652結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ETForecast consensus from multiple models indicates a mild winter day in Buenos Aires on August 30, with daytime highs most likely reaching 20–21°C under easterly to northeasterly flow and limited cloud cover. Light winds and stable high pressure support gradual warming from overnight lows near 10–12°C without strong advection of cooler air or significant mixing. Recent model runs show consistency on these conditions through the 24-hour period, with minimal expected variability from sea-breeze effects or frontal passages. This scientific setup aligns with trader emphasis on the 21°C outcome at 52.5% implied probability, as historical August maxima and current steering patterns favor this narrow range over extremes. Updated NHC-equivalent regional guidance and next model cycles will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions