National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance indicate a high near 101°F for Dallas on August 30 under persistent influence from a strong upper-level ridge centered over the southern Plains. This setup sustains hot, dry southerly flow with mostly sunny skies, minimal cloud cover, and dew points supporting heat indices above 100°F. The outlook aligns closely with the market’s leading 100–101°F bin while leaving modest room for a 102°F reading if afternoon mixing or slight model shifts occur. Historical August averages near 94°F underscore the anomalous warmth, and traders appear to be weighting the consensus forecast heavily ahead of the official daily maximum observation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日達拉斯的最高溫度?
100-101°F 68%
98-99°F 15%
102-103°F 15%
104-105°F 4%
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
15%
100-101°F
68%
102-103°F
15%
104-105°F
4%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
<1%
華氏110度或更高
<1%
100-101°F 68%
98-99°F 15%
102-103°F 15%
104-105°F 4%
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
15%
100-101°F
68%
102-103°F
15%
104-105°F
4%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
<1%
華氏110度或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance indicate a high near 101°F for Dallas on August 30 under persistent influence from a strong upper-level ridge centered over the southern Plains. This setup sustains hot, dry southerly flow with mostly sunny skies, minimal cloud cover, and dew points supporting heat indices above 100°F. The outlook aligns closely with the market’s leading 100–101°F bin while leaving modest room for a 102°F reading if afternoon mixing or slight model shifts occur. Historical August averages near 94°F underscore the anomalous warmth, and traders appear to be weighting the consensus forecast heavily ahead of the official daily maximum observation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions