Official NWS forecasts for Dallas on August 29, 2026, call for a high near 102°F under sunny skies with light south-southeast winds of 5-10 mph, aligning closely with the market’s dominant 100-101°F bin at 73.5% implied probability. A persistent upper-level ridge promoting strong subsidence and minimal cloud cover drives maximum solar heating, while dew points in the upper 60s limit extreme humidity but allow efficient daytime warming. Recent model consensus from the National Weather Service Dallas/Fort Worth office shows little deviation, with point forecasts consistently in the 100-102°F range amid ongoing drought conditions. Hourly observations from stations like Dallas Love Field will resolve the exact peak, with any late-day surge or slight cooling potentially shifting outcomes within the narrow 98-103°F window favored by traders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日達拉斯的最高溫度?
100-101°F 68%
102-103°F 18%
98-99°F 13%
104-105°F <1%
$15,325 交易量
$15,325 交易量
95°F or below
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
13%
100-101°F
68%
102-103°F
18%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 68%
102-103°F 18%
98-99°F 13%
104-105°F <1%
$15,325 交易量
$15,325 交易量
95°F or below
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
13%
100-101°F
68%
102-103°F
18%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official NWS forecasts for Dallas on August 29, 2026, call for a high near 102°F under sunny skies with light south-southeast winds of 5-10 mph, aligning closely with the market’s dominant 100-101°F bin at 73.5% implied probability. A persistent upper-level ridge promoting strong subsidence and minimal cloud cover drives maximum solar heating, while dew points in the upper 60s limit extreme humidity but allow efficient daytime warming. Recent model consensus from the National Weather Service Dallas/Fort Worth office shows little deviation, with point forecasts consistently in the 100-102°F range amid ongoing drought conditions. Hourly observations from stations like Dallas Love Field will resolve the exact peak, with any late-day surge or slight cooling potentially shifting outcomes within the narrow 98-103°F window favored by traders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions