Persistent high pressure and light southeast winds across North Texas are sustaining elevated overnight lows near 78–80 °F for August 29, according to National Weather Service guidance, with mostly clear skies permitting limited radiational cooling offset by high dew points near 70 °F. These conditions differentiate the tightly clustered mid-range outcomes (78–83 °F) from the leading 71 °F-or-below tranche, which would require an unforecasted cold front or stronger northerly flow to enhance cooling. Model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability this close to the event, though small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed could still nudge the minimum across the 76–80 °F threshold. Traders appear to weigh historical late-August variability against the current stable pattern.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日達拉斯的最低溫度?
華氏71度或以下 35%
78-79°F 28%
80-81°F 28%
82-83°F 25%
華氏71度或以下
35%
72-73°F
17%
74-75°F
17%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
28%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
17%
86-87°F
14%
88-89°F
2%
華氏90度或以上
1%
華氏71度或以下 35%
78-79°F 28%
80-81°F 28%
82-83°F 25%
華氏71度或以下
35%
72-73°F
17%
74-75°F
17%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
28%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
17%
86-87°F
14%
88-89°F
2%
華氏90度或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent high pressure and light southeast winds across North Texas are sustaining elevated overnight lows near 78–80 °F for August 29, according to National Weather Service guidance, with mostly clear skies permitting limited radiational cooling offset by high dew points near 70 °F. These conditions differentiate the tightly clustered mid-range outcomes (78–83 °F) from the leading 71 °F-or-below tranche, which would require an unforecasted cold front or stronger northerly flow to enhance cooling. Model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability this close to the event, though small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed could still nudge the minimum across the 76–80 °F threshold. Traders appear to weigh historical late-August variability against the current stable pattern.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions