Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a daily high near 82°F at Los Angeles International Airport on August 30, following a period of elevated temperatures with highs reaching 90°F on August 27. Coastal marine layer influence and strengthening onshore flow are moderating peak readings compared to inland areas, while subsidence under high pressure supports warmth but limits extreme heat. Trader consensus clusters on 82–83°F (44.5% implied probability) and 80–81°F (31.0%), aligning closely with these official guidance values and historical late-August patterns where coastal highs average around 77°F but have trended warmer recently. Upcoming afternoon observations and any model updates could refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日洛杉磯的最高溫度?
82-83°F 45%
80-81°F 31%
84-85°F 15%
78-79°F 8%
69°F或以下
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
31%
82-83°F
45%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
4%
88°F或更高
1%
82-83°F 45%
80-81°F 31%
84-85°F 15%
78-79°F 8%
69°F或以下
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
31%
82-83°F
45%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
4%
88°F或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 28, 2026, 10:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a daily high near 82°F at Los Angeles International Airport on August 30, following a period of elevated temperatures with highs reaching 90°F on August 27. Coastal marine layer influence and strengthening onshore flow are moderating peak readings compared to inland areas, while subsidence under high pressure supports warmth but limits extreme heat. Trader consensus clusters on 82–83°F (44.5% implied probability) and 80–81°F (31.0%), aligning closely with these official guidance values and historical late-August patterns where coastal highs average around 77°F but have trended warmer recently. Upcoming afternoon observations and any model updates could refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions