Latest Japan Meteorological Agency guidance forecasts a cloudy August 26 with a 33°C high and 40% chance of scattered showers, anchoring trader consensus near 33–35°C. Afternoon cloud cover and precipitation timing are the key variables: earlier or heavier showers would cap the maximum near 33°C, while any clearing under the ongoing late-summer heat dome could push readings to 34–35°C via enhanced solar heating and Tokyo’s urban heat-island effect. Ensemble model spreads and recent multi-day highs in the mid-30s reflect this narrow uncertainty band, with traders assigning the highest probabilities to outcomes within one degree of the official point forecast.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日東京氣溫最高？
8月26日東京氣溫最高？
34°C 35%
35°C 30%
33°C 15%
36°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
15%
34°C
35%
35°C
30%
36°C
12%
37°C
4%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 35%
35°C 30%
33°C 15%
36°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
28°C or below
$1,354 交易量
<1%
29°C
$1,454 交易量
<1%
30°C
$111 交易量
<1%
31°C
$178 交易量
2%
32°C
$274 交易量
4%
33°C
$306 交易量
15%
34°C
$373 交易量
35%
35°C
$536 交易量
30%
36°C
$983 交易量
12%
37°C
$175 交易量
4%
38°C or higher
$3,755 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Japan Meteorological Agency guidance forecasts a cloudy August 26 with a 33°C high and 40% chance of scattered showers, anchoring trader consensus near 33–35°C. Afternoon cloud cover and precipitation timing are the key variables: earlier or heavier showers would cap the maximum near 33°C, while any clearing under the ongoing late-summer heat dome could push readings to 34–35°C via enhanced solar heating and Tokyo’s urban heat-island effect. Ensemble model spreads and recent multi-day highs in the mid-30s reflect this narrow uncertainty band, with traders assigning the highest probabilities to outcomes within one degree of the official point forecast.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$9,498結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Japan Meteorological Agency guidance forecasts a cloudy August 26 with a 33°C high and 40% chance of scattered showers, anchoring trader consensus near 33–35°C. Afternoon cloud cover and precipitation timing are the key variables: earlier or heavier showers would cap the maximum near 33°C, while any clearing under the ongoing late-summer heat dome could push readings to 34–35°C via enhanced solar heating and Tokyo’s urban heat-island effect. Ensemble model spreads and recent multi-day highs in the mid-30s reflect this narrow uncertainty band, with traders assigning the highest probabilities to outcomes within one degree of the official point forecast.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,498結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETLatest Japan Meteorological Agency guidance forecasts a cloudy August 26 with a 33°C high and 40% chance of scattered showers, anchoring trader consensus near 33–35°C. Afternoon cloud cover and precipitation timing are the key variables: earlier or heavier showers would cap the maximum near 33°C, while any clearing under the ongoing late-summer heat dome could push readings to 34–35°C via enhanced solar heating and Tokyo’s urban heat-island effect. Ensemble model spreads and recent multi-day highs in the mid-30s reflect this narrow uncertainty band, with traders assigning the highest probabilities to outcomes within one degree of the official point forecast.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions