Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies and models indicate Guangzhou's overnight minimum on August 27 will stabilize near 26°C amid persistent warm, moist subtropical air and widespread rain, limiting radiative cooling. High humidity above 80%, light winds, and cloud cover from thunderstorms maintain temperatures in the mid-20s Celsius through the night, consistent with climatological baselines for late August where average lows hover around 25°C. Trader consensus at 26°C reflects this model agreement and real-time observations showing no cold air advection. An atypical clear-sky period or unexpected frontal passage could allow greater cooling below this threshold, though current conditions make such shifts improbable before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月27日廣州最低溫度?
26°C 100.0%
24°C 1.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
$2,564 交易量
$2,564 交易量
21°C或以下
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
是
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C或以上
否
26°C 100.0%
24°C 1.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
$2,564 交易量
$2,564 交易量
21°C或以下
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
是
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies and models indicate Guangzhou's overnight minimum on August 27 will stabilize near 26°C amid persistent warm, moist subtropical air and widespread rain, limiting radiative cooling. High humidity above 80%, light winds, and cloud cover from thunderstorms maintain temperatures in the mid-20s Celsius through the night, consistent with climatological baselines for late August where average lows hover around 25°C. Trader consensus at 26°C reflects this model agreement and real-time observations showing no cold air advection. An atypical clear-sky period or unexpected frontal passage could allow greater cooling below this threshold, though current conditions make such shifts improbable before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions