**Forecast consensus from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models centers overnight lows for Tokyo on August 25 near 26–28°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes (27°C at 53%, 26°C at 24.5%, 28°C at 20.5%).** Southerly flow and a warm, humid air mass under high pressure are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated relative to August climatological normals (around 23°C). Recent JMA guidance and ensemble runs show mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with light winds overnight, supporting the tight clustering around 27°C. Earlier August rainfall episodes have given way to drier, warmer patterns, with no significant frontal passages or typhoon influences expected in the next 24–48 hours that would introduce cooler air. Updated model outputs and official briefings remain the key near-term drivers, as even modest shifts in cloud cover or wind could adjust the realized low by 1°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日東京的最低溫度？
8月25日東京的最低溫度？
27°C 53%
26°C 25%
28°C 21%
25°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
5%
26°C
25%
27°C
53%
28°C
21%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 53%
26°C 25%
28°C 21%
25°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
21°C or below
$698 交易量
<1%
22°C
$42 交易量
<1%
23°C
$32 交易量
<1%
24°C
$215 交易量
3%
25°C
$548 交易量
5%
26°C
$228 交易量
25%
27°C
$300 交易量
53%
28°C
$233 交易量
21%
29°C
$5 交易量
2%
30°C
$32 交易量
1%
31°C or higher
$563 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models centers overnight lows for Tokyo on August 25 near 26–28°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes (27°C at 53%, 26°C at 24.5%, 28°C at 20.5%).**
Southerly flow and a warm, humid air mass under high pressure are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated relative to August climatological normals (around 23°C). Recent JMA guidance and ensemble runs show mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with light winds overnight, supporting the tight clustering around 27°C. Earlier August rainfall episodes have given way to drier, warmer patterns, with no significant frontal passages or typhoon influences expected in the next 24–48 hours that would introduce cooler air. Updated model outputs and official briefings remain the key near-term drivers, as even modest shifts in cloud cover or wind could adjust the realized low by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$2,896結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models centers overnight lows for Tokyo on August 25 near 26–28°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes (27°C at 53%, 26°C at 24.5%, 28°C at 20.5%).**
Southerly flow and a warm, humid air mass under high pressure are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated relative to August climatological normals (around 23°C). Recent JMA guidance and ensemble runs show mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with light winds overnight, supporting the tight clustering around 27°C. Earlier August rainfall episodes have given way to drier, warmer patterns, with no significant frontal passages or typhoon influences expected in the next 24–48 hours that would introduce cooler air. Updated model outputs and official briefings remain the key near-term drivers, as even modest shifts in cloud cover or wind could adjust the realized low by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,896結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Forecast consensus from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models centers overnight lows for Tokyo on August 25 near 26–28°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes (27°C at 53%, 26°C at 24.5%, 28°C at 20.5%).** Southerly flow and a warm, humid air mass under high pressure are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated relative to August climatological normals (around 23°C). Recent JMA guidance and ensemble runs show mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with light winds overnight, supporting the tight clustering around 27°C. Earlier August rainfall episodes have given way to drier, warmer patterns, with no significant frontal passages or typhoon influences expected in the next 24–48 hours that would introduce cooler air. Updated model outputs and official briefings remain the key near-term drivers, as even modest shifts in cloud cover or wind could adjust the realized low by 1°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions