**Trader consensus heavily favors 14°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Mexico City on August 25, 2026 (95.5% implied probability), consistent with official station observations.** Pre-dawn readings from the central meteorological station (elevation ~2,300 m) reached 14°C under persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 84–94%, and light winds associated with the ongoing rainy season. Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts issued the prior day projected minimums of 12–14°C amid scattered showers and fog in higher zones, aligning closely with measured values. Nearby stations and historical August climatology (typical overnight lows 10–13°C) support this outcome, with reduced radiational cooling from extensive cloudiness preventing deeper drops seen on clearer nights. Realistic challenges include localized readings at elevated western alcaldías (e.g., Cuajimalpa) falling to 12–13°C or post-event data revisions, though the broad station network and model consensus make these low-probability outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日墨西哥城的最低溫度？
8月25日墨西哥城的最低溫度？
14°C 96%
10°C 7%
13°C 2%
9°C或以下 <1%
$2,387 交易量
$2,387 交易量
2026-08-25
9°C或以下
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
是
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C或以上
否
14°C 96%
10°C 7%
13°C 2%
9°C或以下 <1%
$2,387 交易量
$2,387 交易量
2026-08-25
9°C或以下
$40 交易量
否
10°C
$85 交易量
否
11°C
$123 交易量
否
12°C
$102 交易量
否
13°C
$22 交易量
否
14°C
$210 交易量
是
15°C
$145 交易量
否
16°C
$310 交易量
否
17°C
$285 交易量
否
18°C
$595 交易量
否
19°C或以上
$470 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 14°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Mexico City on August 25, 2026 (95.5% implied probability), consistent with official station observations.**
Pre-dawn readings from the central meteorological station (elevation ~2,300 m) reached 14°C under persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 84–94%, and light winds associated with the ongoing rainy season. Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts issued the prior day projected minimums of 12–14°C amid scattered showers and fog in higher zones, aligning closely with measured values. Nearby stations and historical August climatology (typical overnight lows 10–13°C) support this outcome, with reduced radiational cooling from extensive cloudiness preventing deeper drops seen on clearer nights.
Realistic challenges include localized readings at elevated western alcaldías (e.g., Cuajimalpa) falling to 12–13°C or post-event data revisions, though the broad station network and model consensus make these low-probability outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
交易量
$2,387結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 14°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Mexico City on August 25, 2026 (95.5% implied probability), consistent with official station observations.**
Pre-dawn readings from the central meteorological station (elevation ~2,300 m) reached 14°C under persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 84–94%, and light winds associated with the ongoing rainy season. Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts issued the prior day projected minimums of 12–14°C amid scattered showers and fog in higher zones, aligning closely with measured values. Nearby stations and historical August climatology (typical overnight lows 10–13°C) support this outcome, with reduced radiational cooling from extensive cloudiness preventing deeper drops seen on clearer nights.
Realistic challenges include localized readings at elevated western alcaldías (e.g., Cuajimalpa) falling to 12–13°C or post-event data revisions, though the broad station network and model consensus make these low-probability outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,387結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Trader consensus heavily favors 14°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Mexico City on August 25, 2026 (95.5% implied probability), consistent with official station observations.** Pre-dawn readings from the central meteorological station (elevation ~2,300 m) reached 14°C under persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 84–94%, and light winds associated with the ongoing rainy season. Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts issued the prior day projected minimums of 12–14°C amid scattered showers and fog in higher zones, aligning closely with measured values. Nearby stations and historical August climatology (typical overnight lows 10–13°C) support this outcome, with reduced radiational cooling from extensive cloudiness preventing deeper drops seen on clearer nights. Realistic challenges include localized readings at elevated western alcaldías (e.g., Cuajimalpa) falling to 12–13°C or post-event data revisions, though the broad station network and model consensus make these low-probability outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions