**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Panama City on August 25 centers on the near-even split between 25°C and 26°C, reflecting uncertainty in overnight cooling under typical rainy-season conditions.** August climatology shows average lows of 23–25°C amid high humidity (around 80–85%) and frequent cloud cover that limits radiative heat loss. On the 25th, model guidance and local observations pointed to variable convection and lingering moisture, with forecast lows hovering near 25°C; any reduction in cloud cover or lighter winds could allow slightly greater cooling to 25°C or below, while persistent humidity and showers would cap the drop at 26°C. Historical analogs indicate rare dips below 23°C in August, explaining the low probabilities for cooler outcomes, while the tight 51–49% divide underscores how small differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any showers can shift the daily minimum by 1°C. Updated surface observations and model consensus on cooling rates will likely resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日巴拿馬城的最低溫度?
21°C或以下 10%
22°C 1.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$2,946 交易量
$2,946 交易量
21°C或以下
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
是
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C或以上
否
21°C或以下 10%
22°C 1.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$2,946 交易量
$2,946 交易量
21°C或以下
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
是
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Panama City on August 25 centers on the near-even split between 25°C and 26°C, reflecting uncertainty in overnight cooling under typical rainy-season conditions.** August climatology shows average lows of 23–25°C amid high humidity (around 80–85%) and frequent cloud cover that limits radiative heat loss. On the 25th, model guidance and local observations pointed to variable convection and lingering moisture, with forecast lows hovering near 25°C; any reduction in cloud cover or lighter winds could allow slightly greater cooling to 25°C or below, while persistent humidity and showers would cap the drop at 26°C. Historical analogs indicate rare dips below 23°C in August, explaining the low probabilities for cooler outcomes, while the tight 51–49% divide underscores how small differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any showers can shift the daily minimum by 1°C. Updated surface observations and model consensus on cooling rates will likely resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions