Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and global models project a daytime high near 31–32°C for Shanghai on August 24, 2026, as the subtropical high strengthens westward and reduces cloud cover after recent rain. This positioning underpins the tight market clustering at 32°C (33%) and 31°C (29%), with residual moisture and brief showers potentially capping peaks below model maxima. Historical August baselines near 31°C provide context, while steering patterns and humidity levels remain key variables that could shift the exact maximum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日上海最高溫度?
32°C 33%
31°C 31%
30°C 16%
29°C 10%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
10%
30°C
16%
31°C
31%
32°C
33%
33°C
9%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 33%
31°C 31%
30°C 16%
29°C 10%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
10%
30°C
16%
31°C
31%
32°C
33%
33°C
9%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and global models project a daytime high near 31–32°C for Shanghai on August 24, 2026, as the subtropical high strengthens westward and reduces cloud cover after recent rain. This positioning underpins the tight market clustering at 32°C (33%) and 31°C (29%), with residual moisture and brief showers potentially capping peaks below model maxima. Historical August baselines near 31°C provide context, while steering patterns and humidity levels remain key variables that could shift the exact maximum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions