Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate mild late-August conditions over Warsaw, with daytime highs most likely reaching 20–23°C amid variable cloud cover and possible light showers. These align with seasonal norms as solar heating declines and westerly flow brings cooler maritime air, keeping extremes below recent summer peaks. Model consensus supports the market's leading implied probabilities near 21–22°C, though minor shifts in timing or precipitation could adjust outcomes by 1–2°C. Updated runs from European meteorological agencies over the next 24 hours will provide the clearest resolution signals ahead of the daily maximum measurement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月22日華沙的最高溫度?
21°C 43%
22°C 32%
20°C 10%
23°C 9%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
10%
21°C
43%
22°C
32%
23°C
9%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 43%
22°C 32%
20°C 10%
23°C 9%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
10%
21°C
43%
22°C
32%
23°C
9%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate mild late-August conditions over Warsaw, with daytime highs most likely reaching 20–23°C amid variable cloud cover and possible light showers. These align with seasonal norms as solar heating declines and westerly flow brings cooler maritime air, keeping extremes below recent summer peaks. Model consensus supports the market's leading implied probabilities near 21–22°C, though minor shifts in timing or precipitation could adjust outcomes by 1–2°C. Updated runs from European meteorological agencies over the next 24 hours will provide the clearest resolution signals ahead of the daily maximum measurement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions