**Forecast model consensus from sources like the Turkish Meteorological Service, ECMWF, and GFS runs positions 32–33°C as the most likely daily maximum for Ankara on August 21, 2026.** Ankara’s high-plateau location (roughly 900 m elevation) experiences strong daytime heating under clear skies and light winds typical of late-summer anticyclonic conditions, with historical August averages near 32°C. Recent observations on August 19–20 show sunny skies and highs in the 31–33°C range, supporting stable model guidance that has not shifted materially in the past 48 hours. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of ensemble members around these values against minor uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of peak insolation. Higher outcomes above 34°C remain low-probability because no amplifying factors—such as stronger subsidence or drier air advection—are currently indicated. Resolution hinges on official Turkish Meteorological Service measurements, which use standardized Stevenson screen observations at the central Ankara station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月21日安卡拉的最高溫度？
8月21日安卡拉的最高溫度？
32°C 59%
33°C 34%
31°C 8%
34°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
59%
33°C
34%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 59%
33°C 34%
31°C 8%
34°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
28°C or below
$434 交易量
<1%
29°C
$327 交易量
<1%
30°C
$296 交易量
2%
31°C
$899 交易量
8%
32°C
$696 交易量
59%
33°C
$1,343 交易量
34%
34°C
$501 交易量
3%
35°C
$151 交易量
<1%
36°C
$232 交易量
1%
37°C
$180 交易量
<1%
38°C or higher
$286 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast model consensus from sources like the Turkish Meteorological Service, ECMWF, and GFS runs positions 32–33°C as the most likely daily maximum for Ankara on August 21, 2026.** Ankara’s high-plateau location (roughly 900 m elevation) experiences strong daytime heating under clear skies and light winds typical of late-summer anticyclonic conditions, with historical August averages near 32°C. Recent observations on August 19–20 show sunny skies and highs in the 31–33°C range, supporting stable model guidance that has not shifted materially in the past 48 hours.
Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of ensemble members around these values against minor uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of peak insolation. Higher outcomes above 34°C remain low-probability because no amplifying factors—such as stronger subsidence or drier air advection—are currently indicated. Resolution hinges on official Turkish Meteorological Service measurements, which use standardized Stevenson screen observations at the central Ankara station.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$5,347結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast model consensus from sources like the Turkish Meteorological Service, ECMWF, and GFS runs positions 32–33°C as the most likely daily maximum for Ankara on August 21, 2026.** Ankara’s high-plateau location (roughly 900 m elevation) experiences strong daytime heating under clear skies and light winds typical of late-summer anticyclonic conditions, with historical August averages near 32°C. Recent observations on August 19–20 show sunny skies and highs in the 31–33°C range, supporting stable model guidance that has not shifted materially in the past 48 hours.
Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of ensemble members around these values against minor uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of peak insolation. Higher outcomes above 34°C remain low-probability because no amplifying factors—such as stronger subsidence or drier air advection—are currently indicated. Resolution hinges on official Turkish Meteorological Service measurements, which use standardized Stevenson screen observations at the central Ankara station.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,347結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Forecast model consensus from sources like the Turkish Meteorological Service, ECMWF, and GFS runs positions 32–33°C as the most likely daily maximum for Ankara on August 21, 2026.** Ankara’s high-plateau location (roughly 900 m elevation) experiences strong daytime heating under clear skies and light winds typical of late-summer anticyclonic conditions, with historical August averages near 32°C. Recent observations on August 19–20 show sunny skies and highs in the 31–33°C range, supporting stable model guidance that has not shifted materially in the past 48 hours. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of ensemble members around these values against minor uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of peak insolation. Higher outcomes above 34°C remain low-probability because no amplifying factors—such as stronger subsidence or drier air advection—are currently indicated. Resolution hinges on official Turkish Meteorological Service measurements, which use standardized Stevenson screen observations at the central Ankara station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions